Dodgers vs. Rockies Odds
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -156 | 12 -120o / -102u | -230 |
| Rockies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +130 | 12 -120o / -102u | +190 |
The Los Angeles Dodgers and Colorado Rockies have been piecing together their rotations for the final run of the regular season. They play a doubleheader on Tuesday, and while neither team has announced starting pitchers at the time of this writing, the Rockies are likely to put forth Ryan Feltner or Chase Anderson in Game 1.
The Dodgers' starting pitcher is also uncertain, but the team will have Ryan Pepiot or Emmet Sheehan available either to start or as bulk guys behind an opener.
Given the way the Dodgers are hitting, the starting pitching might not be super important when handicapping this matchup, as I'll explain below.
Los Angeles Dodgers
The Dodgers have a 114 wRC+ and .788 OPS against right-handed pitching in September. Their 10.3% walk rate is near the top of the league, and they are striking out 20.7% of the time this month.
They have eight hitters with a .340+ xwOBA and two others above .300, so this lineup is stacked. In fact, Austin Barnes, James Outman, Will Smith, Amed Rosario, Mookie Betts and Max Muncy are all above .360, so this lineup will produce against a weak pitching staff, regardless of who starts the game for Colorado.
Colorado Rockies
The Rockies could start Anderson or Feltner, so we'll focus on both. Anderson has a 5.75 ERA and 5.04 xERA. His barrel rate is 8.7%, his average exit velocity allowed is 87.3 mph and his hard-hit rate is 31.9%.
He is only striking out 17% of hitters, while he is walking 8.8% of them. His groundball rate is only 36.6%, which does not bode well against the Dodgers.
Feltner has very similar numbers, except he walks 14.6% of hitters and keeps the ball on the ground a little more at 44.9%. That said, neither pitcher matches up well with LA.
In relief, Colorado also has some horrible numbers. They have a team xFIP of 5.56 with a sub-20% strikeout rate and 12.9% walk rate. They only have three active arms below a 4.00 xFIP and everyone else is bad, simply put.
Dodgers vs. Rockies
Betting Pick & Prediction
The Rockies do not have the pitching staff to contend with a roster that absolutely slugs right-handed pitching. Brent Suter is the only active left-handed reliever in the Rockies’ bullpen.
Otherwise, this matchup is simply skewed to Los Angeles. Regardless of who the Dodgers throw, the moneyline will be far too steep.
Take their team total over to 6.
