Expert MLB Projections Top Home Run Pick (July 21)

Vlad Guerrero Jr. (+525) was PRO projections' top home run pick a night ago, and we hit on a winner!

As we look to stay hot in the MLB props market, our home run projections are loaded into PRO Report Sunday morning. Expert MLB projections' top home run pick for July 21 features a hitter in Giants vs. Rockies at 3:10 p.m. ET.

Our advanced, proprietary PRO Projections are crafted by our MLB specialists. They’re helpful in an array of markets, especially newer, entertaining spaces like home run picks. Our best bets and projections are then classified using an edge percentage and simple grading system like A, B and C.

With all teams in action and a typical front-loaded Sunday slate, get in on today’s top home run pick from PRO Projections – and utilize the software all season!

Expert MLB Projections' Top Home Run Pick (July 21)

Oftentimes, PRO Projections' largest daily edges are players to not homer — well, not today.

Sunday’s top home run prediction is a clear value spot on a hitter to knock one out of Coors Field, known for its hitter-friendly setup.

Sunday’s situation tees up Giants veteran Wilmer Flores as PRO Projections' top pick to homer for July 21.

Odds for Flores to hit a home run are a market-best +800 at BetMGM. Comparing that price to our home run projection for Flores (0.21) translates to a near-8% edge.

Flores is renowned for smashing lefties. He’ll get a solid draw against Rockies southpaw Austin Gomber in the late-afternoon clash.

Editor Note: The Rockies made a pitching change and will start right-hander Ryan Feltner on Sunday.

PRO Report Pick: Wilmer Flores HR (+800)

Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that's where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.