Giants vs Dodgers Odds & Predictions
| San Francisco Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
+105 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | +1.5 -190 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
-125 | 8.5 -105o / -115u | -1.5 +158 |
National League West rivals finish their season series with a four-game set beginning Monday at Dodger Stadium. The Giants are 3-6 against the Dodgers in 2024 and have lost four of their last 10 games — they have just a 19.9% chance of making the playoffs, per FanGraphs.
Blake Snell's current form is one cause for optimism for the Giants. The 2023 National League Cy Young Award winner has returned from the injured list with two dominant outings. He'll start opposite highly touted Dodgers prospect River Ryan, who earned the callup from the Dodgers with a 2.76 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in Triple-A this season.
For more on this Monday night NL West clash at Dodger Stadium, check out my Giants vs Dodgers betting preview and prediction below.
San Francisco Giants
Tensions might be running a little high around the Giants clubhouse since a season that once held some promise seems to be slipping away. The expanded wild-card format is keeping San Francisco in the playoff picture despite a 48-52 record, and it was able to respond to Bob Melvin's outburst with a win on Sunday.
A series at Dodger Stadium will always provide some extra motivation for San Francisco, which may have a good chance to steal the opener given how Snell has pitched of late.
Over his last two starts, Snell has not allowed an earned run and conceded just two hits across 12 innings against the Twins and Blue Jays. He has pitched to a FIP of 2.07 and struck out 8.25 batters per nine in those outings. Snell's fastball averaged 95.9 in his last start, his highest mark of the season.
While Snell's stuff is now looking more lively, he could finally improve on what seemed to be some bad luck before his stint on the injured list. Overall, Snell owns a 3.58 xERA this season and a 3.98 xFIP.
Over the last 30 days, the Giants bullpen has pitched to a seventh-ranked xFIP of 3.58 and been forced to work the second-most innings in the league over that span with 101.
The Giants offense has continued to be far tougher on left-handed pitchers than righties this season and features several key hitters with very pronounced splits at the plate. San Francisco has a 17th-ranked wRC+ of 97 against righties in 2024 and a ninth-ranked wRC+ of 114 against lefties.
Over the last 30 days, San Francisco has a 21st-ranked 94 wRC+ against right-handed pitching and struck out 23.7% of the time.
Los Angeles Dodgers
Given the lack of health among the Dodgers rotation, Ryan likely would have made his major-league debut earlier in the season if not for missing time himself in April and May.
Ryan held a Stuff+ rating of 122 in Triple-A this season and a Location+ rating of 106. He features a fastball that tops out at 99 mph and has averaged 98.5 with his four-seamer in Triple-A this season. He has topped out at five innings since returning from shoulder tightness, so he'll likely be on a short leash tonight.
The Dodgers' bullpen has been a concern lately with a 4.42 ERA and 4.55 xFIP over the last 30 days.
At the plate, Los Angeles has continued its strong form against left-handed pitching over the past month. During that span, the Dodgers have an 11th-ranked 125 wRC and .769 OPS.
Giants vs. Dodgers
Betting Pick & Prediction
This looks like a good matchup to target the under.
Snell is looking like his former self once again, which instills some confidence that the Dodgers red-hot offense may disappoint. The Giants bullpen was struggling in terms of ERA before the All-Star break, but it was also heavily overworked and might be refreshed. Also, the underlying results were solid.
For the Dodgers, Ryan has the potential to be an effective big-league starter right out of the gates. The Giants lineup remains a below-average unit against right-handers despite getting a few key names back recently.
A total of 8.5 looks a touch high in this matchup. I see value in betting Under 8.5 at any price below -120.
