Editor's note: This game has been postponed due to inclement weather.
Giants vs. Tigers Odds
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
| -154 | 8 -105 / -115 | -1.5 +118 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Total | Run Line |
+130 | 8 -105 / -115 | +1.5 -142 |
To kick off Sunday's MLB slate, the AL Central's Detroit Tigers host the NL West's San Francisco Giants.
After winning each of the first two matchups in this three-game series, Detroit looks to complete the sweep at Comerica Park. Will the Tigers take care of business, or can the Giants head to Miami on a high-note?
Here's a look at the odds, as well as my Giants vs Tigers betting pick.
San Francisco Giants
The San Francisco Giants enter this matchup amidst a flurry of high-scoring affairs as 10 or more runs have been scored in four of their past five games. This trend is likely to continue with right-hander Logan Webb slated to take the mound for San Francisco.
Webb was rewarded for his success over the past few seasons with a five-year, $90 million contract extension this week. However, he's struggled a bit this season as he's 0-3 with a 4.77 ERA.
There were 10 or more runs scored in two of those three outings. Based on his underlying metrics, positive regression may be difficult to come by for Webb.
This season, he ranks in the 47th percentile or lower in HardHit%, xBA, xSLG, Barrel% and Fastball Velocity. However, Webb should get some solid run support from a generally underrated San Francisco lineup.
The Giants rank in the top-12 in BA, SLG, OPS and homers.
Detroit Tigers
After a slow start to the season, the Detroit Tigers' offense has come alive this week, averaging just under six runs over the past three games. However, pitching could be a great concern for Detroit as left-hander Matthew Boyd is expected to get the nod.
Through two starts, Boyd is 0-1 with a 4.00 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP. Based on his underlying metrics, positive regression is unlikely.
In 2023, Boyd ranks in the 44th percentile or lower in xERA/xwOBA, xBA, K% and fastball velocity. Many may point out that this small sample size does not do Boyd justice, especially given his success out of the bullpen last season.
With that said, Detroit should have kept him there. In each of the two seasons prior, when Boyd was a full-time starter, he produced an xERA of 4.18 or higher.
Giants vs. Tigers Betting Pick
Not only are there numerous question marks surrounding each of these starting pitchers, but this game features two of the worst bullpens in baseball. This season, each relief staff ranks 21st in the league or lower in ERA, FIP, BA, SLG and wOBA.
The biggest hurdle in eclipsing this over is the forecast, which calls for winds blowing inward throughout the game. With that said, the total of eight is an over-adjustment to that fact given all of the other aforementioned variables.
For the third straight game in this series, look for eight or more runs to cross the plate.
Pick: Over 8 | Play to -120 |
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