Mariners vs. Astros ALDS Odds, Predictions: The Sharp Picks for Game 1 on Moneyline, Spread

Mariners vs. Astros ALDS Odds, Predictions: The Sharp Picks for Game 1 on Moneyline, Spread article feature image
Credit:

Stephen Maturen/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Verlander

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Odds

Mariners Odds+190
Astros Odds-230
Over/Under6.5 (o -122 / u +100)
DateTuesday, Oct. 11
Time3:07 p.m. ET
ChannelTBS

*Odds via FanDuel as of Tuesday morning

There are sharp and big money bettors all over the moneyline and spread for one team in this ALDS Game 1 matchup.

The Action Network's proprietary tracking data indicates as much.

Justin Verlander — the expected AL Cy Young winner — will toe the rubber on six days rest. Meanwhile, the Mariners will have to send out their No. 3 starter, Logan Gilbert, after two intense games in Toronto ended with a Wild Card Round victory.

Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros Sharp Picks

The sharps are riding with the Astros heavy tonight.

The big moneyed bettors have driven this moneyline from a market consensus at open of about -200 to its current mark of around -225.

The best price on the market is with Betway at -215. If you're in a state that doesn't have that sportsbook, roll with WynnBet's number at -220.

The spread's best price, meanwhile, is with DraftKings at -1.5 (+105).

Make sure to price shop for this contest. While, for instance, -215  is a great price on the Astros, the market-worst price at -240 with Tipico is horrible in comparison.

Betting with Tipico tonight would cut down on the value by about 2.4%, a substantial degree over the long run.

Tailing the wise guys and fading retail bettors is how you develop a profit in the long run.

In the short term, of course, variance is a massive constraint. You'll lose a few bets along the way.

The best method to ensure a positive ROI is to bet — with the same unit sizing — each time there's sharp action on a particular pick.

PRO Picks: Astros -215 or better | Astros -1.5 (+105) or better

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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