Brewers vs Rockies Prediction, Pick, Odds for Wednesday, April 9

Brewers vs Rockies Prediction, Pick, Odds for Wednesday, April 9 article feature image
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Pictured: Antonio Senzatela. (Credit: Bill Streicher-Imagn Images)

The Colorado Rockies host the Milwaukee Brewers on April 9, 2025. First pitch from Coors Field is scheduled for 8:40 p.m. EDT; the game will be broadcast on FDSWI.

While both clubs have struggled somewhat at the dish this year, they'll each have friendly matchups with the probable starters — and inside a hitter-friendly park, life may be even sweeter.

Find my MLB betting preview and Brewers vs Rockies prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, betting trends, injury reports and more.

Quickslip

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My Brewers vs Rockies Prediction

  • Brewers vs Rockies pick: Over 10.5 (-112) | Play to -122

My Brewers vs Rockies best bet is Over 10.5 (-112). Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Brewers vs Rockies Odds

Brewers Logo
Wednesday, Apr 9
8:40 p.m. ET
FDSWI
Rockies Logo
Brewers Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+110
10.5
-112o / -108u
-142
Rockies Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-130
10.5
-112o / -108u
+120
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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Brewers vs Rockies Projected Starting Pitchers

Brewers vs Rockies Preview

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Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview: Alexander Aims to Stay Hot in Thin Rotation

Milwaukee entered this season with serious question marks in the rotation, and here we are just 11 games in with Tyler Alexander operating as this team's starting pitcher prior to Quinn Priester and Chad Patrick taking the ball in this series.

It seriously doesn't get more bleak than that, though the one thing we can't knock Alexander so far in 2025 is his results. The lefty just put up 5 2/3 no-hit innings on the road in Cincinnati with three walks and six strikeouts and owns a 2.00 ERA on the season.

The unfortunate news is that's come in an insanely small sample and, over the course of his career, Alexander has failed to strike many out while pitching to quality contact that's predominantly come back in the air.

A whopping 63.4% of the balls that have been struck off Alexander have gone airborne, which is roughly eight points higher than the league average. To put it lightly, an inability to limit hard-hit balls is a shaky proposition when pitching at Coors Field.


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Colorado Rockies Betting Preview: Senzatela's Luck May Run Out

Antonio Senzatela has done the unthinkable this season and thrown 9 2/3 scoreless innings while allowing 19 hits and two walks. There was an unearned run in there, but the point remains — this guy has been hanging on by a thread. Now, he'll make his first start at home, and just his eighth in the past three seasons in the big leagues.

It did appear that Senzatela was finding something again this spring after missing much of the past three calendar years due to two major injuries — one to his knee and one to his shoulder. He ran a 1.21 ERA in 22 1/3 innings, striking out a solid 19 over that span, but did yield 16 hits.

That's been a theme for Senzatela, who owns a poor .281 Expected Batting Average for his career. He's primarily a ground-ball pitcher, which helps in Colorado, but can lead to hits piling up in bunches.

The good news is that he doesn't usually have issues allowing home runs and has maintained a relatively low walk rate.


Brewers vs Rockies Prediction, Betting Analysis

I've never been high on the Brewers' offense, but they've performed well against ground-ball pitchers. They sat 10th in OPS to those types a year ago and rank 11th this season — hitting .298 to boot.

Milwaukee should have a very good chance of picking up some hits off Senzatela given the trends we're spotting, and it also does rank sixth in hitting .273 with men on base this season. I know this isn't traditionally a number we use, but it's important here because Senzatela has been relying upon an unsustainable strand rate. If we can reasonably expect the Brewers to pick up some knocks with guys on, the runs should follow.

Alexander, meanwhile, is a fly-ball pitcher with quality-of-contact issues stepping into Coors Field, and while the Rockies have gotten off to a slow start, they've scored 13 runs in four home games. That's something, and it's enough to believe in the Over.

Pick: Over 10.5 (-112)


Moneyline

The vast majority of the money is hitting the Brewers, with 92% of the handle coming in on Milwaukee according to our tracking.


Run Line (Spread)

The Rockies are just 3-7 to the run line this year, and while Milwaukee's record isn't much better it's at least 5-3 as a favorite.


Over/Under

While 55% of the bets are on the Over, it's commanded 71% of the handle. The Under has hit just once in four games here in Colorado.


Brewers vs Rockies Betting Trends


Brewers vs Rockies Weather


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About the Author
Kenny Ducey, a leading voice in tennis betting and MLB handicapping, has built an online following through his work for Tennis Channel and his background in baseball reporting for Sports Illustrated and Baseball Prospectus. With over a decade of experience, including covering the New York Knicks and Yankees for Fordham's WFUV Radio, Ducey writes betting previews for Action Network and contributes digitally to Tennis Channel, having also worked for NBC Sports and DraftKings.

Follow Kenny Ducey @kennyducey on Twitter/X.

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