MLB Best Bets: Saturday Betting Predictions (7/13)
Photo by Daniel Shirey/MLB Photos via Getty Images. Pictured: Christian Scott
What's better than a full slate of baseball on a Saturday? Our staff of MLB betting analysts have two MLB Best Bets, with an over/under pick for Nationals vs Brewers, as well as a run line prediction for Mets vs Rockies.
MLB Best Bets: Saturday Betting Predictions (7/13)
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from the Saturday slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific MLB best bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 4:10 p.m. | |
  | 4:10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Nationals vs. Brewers
By Tony Sartori
Left-handed rookie Mitchell Parker takes the mound for Washington, and he is a good regression candidate. Despite posting a 3.44 ERA through his first 16 starts, Parker owns a 4.01 xERA and ranks in the 43rd percentile or lower in xBA, average exit velocity, strikeout rate, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.
On the other hand, fellow southpaw Dallas Keuchel takes the mound for Milwaukee, and he is always a good fade candidate. Keuchel owns a 4.61 ERA and 1.68 WHIP through three starts this season, and his analytics are even worse.
Although he doesn't officially qualify, the left-hander possesses a 5.46 xERA and would rank in the bottom 25th percentile in xBA, strikeout rate and walk rate. The good news for Keuchel and the Brewers is that he should receive plenty of run support.
Milwaukee ranks in the top nine of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, OPS and stolen bases.
While the Nationals certainly don't possess the strongest lineup, it boasts a .318 BA, .455 SLG and .359 wOBA through 25 combined career plate appearances against Keuchel.
Pick: Over 9 (+100)
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Rockies vs. Mets
By Greg Liodice
Last night proved what has been proven all season – the Rockies are terrible. Aside from a glimmer of hope scoring three runs in the eighth inning against Jake Diekman, Colorado looked like a disaster.
Victims of defeat in five of their last six games, the Rockies are simply no match for the Mets. New York is riding a polar opposite streak, with wins in five of its last six. Many thought that the June bonanza the Mets were on was just an aberration – and it looked like just that to start July. However, the Grimace Train is still riding high.
Rookie right-hander Christian Scott takes the mound for New York, and his 0-2 record and 4.15 ERA don’t tell the whole story. He’s thrown 30 strikeouts in 39 innings pitched, while maintaining a 5.8% walk rate.
For the Rockies, Ryan Feltner will start. Feltner is a fine pitcher, and like Scott, his record and ERA make him look worse than he is. He has a strong K-Rate at 19.6%, and is ranked third with a 4.00 xFIP.
Feltner, however, is walking into a lion’s den. The Mets are buzzing as of late, averaging a little over 6.5 runs per game in their last three. Additionally, they’re only allowing 2.6 runs per game in their last three. So, while regression certainly is looming, I don’t see it happening against the Rockies.
Pick: Mets -1.5 (-102)
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