The 2019 MLB season is just one day away! To celebrate the return of the boys of summer, we are sharing four MLB systems that every bettor should follow. These Bet Labs moneyline, over/under and runline systems will have you ready for Opening Day.
Make this baseball season fun (and profitable). Try Bet Labs for a month, test theories, get game matches and more!
Betting Against the Public
Betting against the public is one of the most profitable strategies to employ during the baseball season. Casual bettors love backing popular teams like the Yankees, Red Sox and Dodgers. When the squares load up on big-name favorites, fading that action has been profitable.
The key to success is wagering on underdogs in heavily bet division games with reverse line movement. Reverse line movement is when the line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. A $100 bettor following this system would have returned a $16,917 profit since 2005.
Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams
Not a fan of betting the moneyline? A wager type you are more familiar with is the over/under. An approach that works on the diamond is betting the under when two winning teams play.
Winning teams score runs and the public likes to bet the over. So, if you have a pair of winning teams on the field the oddsmakers will inflate the total expecting casual bettors to get down on the over. This has helped $100 bettors return a profit of $18,829 in these matchups since 2005.
Runlines Against Elite Teams
We’ve given you a moneyline and over/under system, another option for baseball bettors is the runline. The runline is like the spread in other sports. In baseball, the runline is always set at 1.5. You bet a team to either win by two or more runs or lose by one run/win outright.
When betting the runline savvy bettors have found an edge by taking unpopular teams on a losing streak against a good opponent.
Good teams are often overvalued because squares like to bet winners. Teams on a losing streak are usually undervalued as casual bettors will fade a team after being burned at the ticket window. This system is most profitable when backing a team that is getting fewer than 25% of runline tickets.
Wind Blowing In
Weather plays a huge role in baseball, especially when it comes to over/unders. It is pretty easy to understand the impact wind can have on a game. A strong gust can change the trajectory of a ball. Wind blowing out can turn a fly ball into a home run or wind blowing in can knock a potential dinger into a long out.
When the average wind speed is 5 mph or greater and blowing in from center, betting the under has gone 829-676-80 (55.1%) since 2005. This is a simple and effective strategy for incorporating weather into your baseball handicapping.
