MLB Daily Strikeout Leader Projections | Expert Bets for MLB Player Props (Friday, May 10)

A prop market that has grown in popularity and offered at FanDuel is the daily strikeout leader. The sportsbook lists odds for every starting pitcher on a given day and you can bet on who will finish with the most strikeouts on the slate.

Keep in mind, much like sports such as golf with leaderboards, dead-heat rules do apply. So if a pitcher you bet on ties with another pitcher, your odds are cut in half.

For today's slate, Pirates rookie Jared Jones has the lowest odds at +500 as he and the Pirates face the Chicago Cubs.

Behind him are Tyler Glasnow of the Los Angeles Dodgers at +800 against the San Diego Padres and Joe Ryan of the Minnesota Twins at +850 against the Toronto Blue Jays.

While my model agrees that Jones is the favorite to record the most strikeouts today, the +500 isn't offering any value as I have his true odds closer to +1000.

Likewise, other elite strikeout pitchers like Glasnow and Ryan have tougher matchups today.

So that said, I'm showing value on a couple of mid-range guys today:

Michael King of the Padres at +2200 against the Dodgers. I have his fair odds closer to +1200.

Bryan Woo of the Mariners at +3500 against the Athletics. I have his fair odds closer to +1500.

Woo is making his first start of the season, so his pitch count may only be around 75-80 pitches. However, he should be able to rack up a ton of strikeouts against this Oakland offense.

I have him with around a 14% chance to get 9+ strikeouts tonight, and with today's slate that could be enough to take down this market.

Below, you can find my projections for the daily strikeout leader today, Friday, May 10th.