MLB Home Run Picks | Expert Projections & Best Bet (July 20)
Toronto Blue Jays celebrate a home run, Vlad Guerrero and George Springer. (Richard Lautens/Toronto Star via Getty Images)
Tonight's MLB clash between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Detroit Tigers at Rogers Centre offers more than just an enticing matchup on the field; it presents a significant opportunity for sharp bettors to delve into one of the most under-the-radar MLB home run picks today.
PRO Projections crunched the odds and spotlighted a hitter with big-time potential to park one Saturday.
Our expert projections are key when wagering on home run props. These projections utilize sophisticated models that consider detailed elements such as player performance patterns, matchup details, and historical data. This analytical accuracy enhances the likelihood of success by pinpointing mispriced betting opportunities.
Reese Olson and Yusei Kikuchi are the starting pitchers for today's Tigers vs. Blue Jays tilt.
Here's the hitter PRO Projections show a strong outlook to bash a home run.
MLB Home Run Picks | Expert Projections & Best Bet (July 20)
The odds for Vlad Guerrero Jr. to hit a home run tonight are set at +525, a figure significantly longer than the PRO Projections odds, and this discrepancy is where value unfolds for bettors.
PRO Projections were submitted this morning, and our numbers suggest that Guerrero has a projected probability of 0.27 to hit a home run. This presents a 7.7% edge for those willing to take the plunge.
Guerrero has several strengths that make this prop bet particularly appealing. His raw power is well-documented and he's fresh off sending one over the fence last night.
The Blue Jays pitching staff has allowed the most home runs this season. However, the best bet today is on Guerrero Jr., who was tagged with a B- grade from expert projections.