I've been running hot on my MLB home run picks — yesterday, I hit on Corbin Carroll, Matt Olson and Yordan Alvarez in a banner day.
And I'm back at it for the Wednesday MLB slate with home run bets on three franchise pillars: Mike Trout, Bobby Witt Jr., and Mookie Betts.
Find my MLB home run prop bets for Wednesday night below.
MLB Home Run Props, Picks, Odds Today — 4/15
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 7:05 p.m. | |
| 8:05 p.m. | |
| 10:10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
MLB Home Run Picks for April 15
Bobby Witt Jr. Home Run (+525)
@ Yankees (SP: RHP Clarke Schmidt)
This line for Bobby Witt Jr. today against Clarke Schmidt and the Yankees doesn't make much sense to me.
Schmidt is an average to slightly above average matchup for right-handed hitters. The weather is good today; it's a little cold over in New York, but the wind is blowing out heavily, sitting at around 17 mph.
I have the true odds here nearly 100 points lower making this a great EV bet.
Mike Trout Home Run (+310)
@ Rangers (SP: LHP Patrick Corbin)
I know that the odds are a little low on Mike Trout today, but they aren't nearly low enough.
Trout is one of the best home-run hitters in the league when healthy and he has been on roughly 50-HR pace per 162 games over the last few years.
He gets a matchup vs. old man Patrick Corbin, who is a complete gas can for righty power. He really has no business pitcher in the majors anymore.
I have Trout at around a 30% chance of hitting a homer today.
Mookie Betts Home Run (+700)
vs. Rockies (SP: RHP German Marquez)
Nothing about these odds for a Mookie Betts home run tonight makes sense.
The weather is cold for Los Angeles standards, but the wind will be blowing out at 10 mph, which should almost make up for it.
Rockies starter German Marquez hasn't been bad this year, but he's due for some pretty big HR/FB variance and grades out as an above average matchup for righty power.
I have the true odds on Betts today around +550, making this a fantastic EV bet today.
