Here are my projected RBI leaders for the upcoming season, alongside their listed odds at Caesars:
The RBI leader has averaged between 0.18 and 0.22 RBIs per plate appearance in the past five seasons.
Therefore, I would largely discount players projected below 0.16 RBIs per plate appearance. And as a result, I removed the following players (all projected between 84-93 RBIs) from the leaderboard: Freddie Freeman, Nolan Arenado, Juan Soto, Bo Bichette, Anthony Santander, Francisco Lindor, Mookie Betts, Corey Seager, Alex Bregman, Teoscar Hernandez and Christian Walker.
Yordan Alvarez is the only player projected for 0.17 RBI per plate appearance, and he's my favorite bet in this category.
I have to bet the players projected on either side of him at superior numbers too, although Jose Ramirez, Matt Olson and Manny Machado don't have much to gain from a playing time standpoint.
Conversely, Giancarlo Stanton is grossly mispriced compared to players in the 0.16 RBI per plate appearance tier. If Stanton manages to stay healthy for an entire season, it would be his first since 2018. But it would also come with massive counting stat upside, considering he's only projected to play around 125 games.
And I will add a bet on Kyle Schwarber, with him moving behind Trea Turner in the Phillies order into a more prominent RBI spot, instead of leading off like much of last season.
Most Runs Batted In Bets
- Yordan Alvarez (+1000, 0.2u) at BetMGM
- Jose Ramirez (+2000, 0.1u) at BetMGM
- Manny Machado (+2500, 0.1u) at BetMGM
- Matt Olson (+1600, 0.1u) at DraftKings
- Kyle Schwarber (+4000, 0.05u) at Caesars
- Giancarlo Stanton (+5000, 0.05u) at BetMGM
