Shayne Trail breaks down his favorite NRFI/YRFI bet of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.
Mets vs. Marlins — No Runs First Inning (-128)
| Matchup | Mets (Walker) vs. Marlins (Alcantara) |
| First Pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| Best Line | FanDuel |
On Friday, we head to loanDepot Park to take an NRFI between two National League East rivals.
Sandy Alcantara has officially entered the Cy Young Award conversation, and his 11-3 NRFI record is among the best in the league. He's now 37-10 in terms of not allowing first-inning runs since 2021.
When facing batters the first time through the order, he's holding teams to a .189 average. When Alcantara has been the favorite since 2020, he's gone 19-4 to the NRFI.
It's safe to say Alcantara has had the edge in the matchups thus far:
- Brandon Nimmo: 2-for-20
- Starling Marte: 1-for-7
- Pete Alonso: 4-for-21
- Eduardo Escobar: 1-for-12
In the first inning in the month of June, the Mets have performed poorly in terms of soft and hard contact rates ranking 27th in soft contact at 22.2% and 27th in hard contact at 24.1%. This is a telling split, showing the Mets' first-inning contact is not significant.
On the other side, we have Taijuan Walker and his respectable 8-3 NRFI record in 2022. This is an interesting spot here for Walker. He faced the Marlins just a few days ago, holding them to two hits with nine strikeouts in 6.2 innings pitched.
This is also the first time this season he has had back-to-back quality starts, as he pitched six innings, gave up one earned run and racked up 10 strikeouts against the Angels the game before.
With 19 strikeouts in 12 innings pitched in his last two starts, it's safe to say Walker is having an excellent June.
Here's how the Mets hurler has done in the past against some of the Marlins' key hitters:
- Jesus Aguilar: 2-for-8
- Jazz Chisholm: 2-for-7
- Garrett Cooper: 0-for-3
- Avisail Garcia: 2-for-12
In the first inning this month, the Marlins rank 28th in first inning K% at 31.5%. It should also be noted that the Marlins' home NRFI percentage is sitting at 82%, which is amongst the best in the league.
Look for Alcantara to continue his Cy Young campaign and pick up NRFI win No. 12, along with Walker to keep his June dominance going. Take the NRFI between the Mets and the Marlins.
For all of Shayne Trail's favorite NRFI/YRFI bets, follow him in the Action Network app.
