I've got an MLB player props parlay I'm targeting from tonight's MLB slate and it's centered around runs scored.
My process for this is projecting the number of plate appearances each player is going to receive based on their spot in the batting order. From there, I also look at how the rest of the team will do based on the matchup, which count set them up for more or less plate appearances.
Additionally, I of course look at each player's chances of reaching base, their baserunning skill, the ability of the hitters behind them in the order to drive them in, park factors, and finally, factoring in the opposing starting pitcher and likely bullpen matchups.
Today's parlay features four hitters with two unders and two overs. Every player listed is confirmed in their starting lineup as of this writing except Luis Arraez, but I give him about a 99% chance of appearing in San Diego's lineup once it's posted.
This parlay pays out +989 at DraftKings but I'm projecting fair odds closer to +632 based on my projections. I'll be playing it for 0.1 units.
MLB +989 Parlay Picks Tonight
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:05 p.m. | Ceddanne Rafaela Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-190) |
  | 9:40 p.m. | Ketel Marte Over 0.5 Runs Scored (-110) |
  | 9:40 p.m. | Luis Arraez Over 0.5 Runs Scored (+145) |
  | 9:40 p.m. | Shea Langeliers Under 0.5 Runs Scores (-190) |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
