Today's MLB slate is small with just six games on the docket. However, there's still betting value to be found and our MLB betting experts have done just that.
So, let's dive into the slate and look over their MLB best bets, picks and analysis for Thursday, April 10.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
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2:10 p.m. | ||
3:10 p.m. | ||
7:15 p.m. | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. |
Grant Neiffer's Twins vs Royals Best Bet: Strong Matchup for Witt
Bobby Witt Jr. is one of the best hitters in the league and should hit 30+ homers this season, based on his underlying numbers.
The matchup he gets today is a good one as he'll be going up against Bailey Ober, who has been crushed by righty power in his career, allowing 1.69 HR/9 to go along with a fly ball rate near 50% and a hard-contact rate above 35%. The weather in Kansas City today isn't great, but it's not terrible and the matchup more than makes up for it.
I have the true odds on Witt to homer today at under +400, making this a great EV bet.
Pick: Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs (+475)
Prop Model's Brewers vs Rockies Best Bet: Fade Feltner
By Prop Model
Ryan Feltner's strikeouts prop looks like a strong wager based on the current data.
The line of 4.5 compares favorably to our MLB simulations. The prop projects to hit 67.77% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 12.21% edge. You can find all prop bet evaluations in ParlayIQ.
Pick: Ryan Feltner Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125)
Charlie Wright's Phillies vs Braves Best Bet: Starters Should Throw Well
I’m backing Spencer Schwellenbach again. He’s dazzled in two starts, tossing 14 scoreless innings and allowing just three hits and one walk while striking out 14. This will be his most challenging matchup, but the skills are undeniable.