There are eight games on the MLB calendar for April 28. Our MLB betting experts have run their models and looked over the latest MLB odds to find the best value on the board.
They've found edges on multiple MLB prop picks, which you can read about below. So, be sure to continue reading for Monday's MLB best bets.
MLB Best Bets Today
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our MLB betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:35 p.m. | |
| 6:35 p.m. | |
  | 8:05 p.m. | |
  | 8:10 p.m. | |
  | 8:40 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Grant Neiffer's Yankees vs Orioles Best Bet: Favorable Conditions for Chisholm
If you have Bally Bet, I absolutely love this bet at +850, but it still offers great value at +700 at most other sites. The home run lines are way off for this game and Jazz Chisholm gets a great matchup vs. Tomoyuki Sugano, who grades out as a well-above-average matchup for lefty power.
The wind is blowing out today and the temperature should be in the mid 70s during the game. Nothing about this matchup is bad and Chisholm is priced like this is a terrible matchup. I have the true odds at close to +500, making this a fantastic EV bet.
Pick: Jazz Chisholm Over 0.5 Home Runs (+700)
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Prop Model's Yankees vs Orioles Best Bet: Model Fading Sugano
By Prop Model
Tomoyuki Sugano's strikeouts prop looks like a strong wager based on the current data. The line of 3.5 compares favorably based on our MLB simulations. The prop projects to hit 67.0% of the time based on the assumptions, and that represents a 10.48% edge. You can find all prop bet evaluations in ParlayIQ.
Pick: Tomoyuki Sugano Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130)
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Charlie Wright's Athletics vs Rangers Best Bet: Back A's Bats
Patrick Corbin burned me against the Angels, racking up six strikeouts over 5 1/3 innings. He faced the Athletics last time out and finished with just four strikeouts. Corbin has survived through three starts, but the underlying metrics are weak and facing a team in back-to-back outings typically favors the offense.
