Padres vs. Dodgers Game 2 Odds
| Padres Odds | +165 |
| Dodgers Odds | -200 |
| Over/Under | 7 |
| Time | 8:37 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1 |
| Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
After upsetting the Mets in the Wild Card Round, the San Diego Padres came out flat against the Los Angeles Dodgers in Game 1 of the NLDS.
LA jumped all over Mike Clevinger, scoring five runs before the third inning. That's all they would finish with, but it was enough to pull out a win against their NL West foe, 5-3.
San Diego looks for revenge on the back of Yu Darvish while the Dodgers send out old reliable Clayton Kershaw. Once again, LA is hefty favorites over the -200 mark with a total hovering around 7.
Here's a same-game parlay for Game 2 of the NLDS:
The Parlay (+1739):
- Clayton Kershaw 5+ Strikeouts
- Mookie Betts o1.5 Total Bases
- Freddie Freeman o1.5 Total Bases
- Will Smith to Record an RBI
Same-Game Parlay – Padres vs Dodgers
Clayton Kershaw 5+ Strikeouts (-172)
It's only a matter of time before Kershaw reclaims his spot atop the record books for most strikeouts in postseason history in what will be a back-and-forth battle with Justin Verlander.
Despite only throwing 72 pitches his last time out — the season finale — Kershaw struck out nine. In five of his six starts in September, Kershaw eclipsed this 4.5 number.
This number is too low for one of the most consistent pitchers of all-time and a seasoned postseason vet.
In his last start against San Diego, Kershaw threw seven innings of shutout ball while striking out eight. His other start — three strikeouts across five — came in April when he was being eased into play.
There are very few pitchers I trust more in October than Kershaw and this number is just way too low for the left-hander, who has a 27.8% strikeout rate.
Mookie Betts Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
The Dodgers' offense went quiet after the third inning in Game 1 and one of the players who struggled mightily at the plate was superstar Mookie Betts.
Betts went hitless but I'm banking on a bounce-back performance from the right-hander against Darvish. While he is just 5-for-26 against Darvish, Betts has three doubles and a home run.
I love backing him atop the order where he should see four, if not five at-bats. This is a deadly offense and Betts is followed by the likes of Trea Turner, Freddie Freeman and Will Smith.
Of his 154 hits in 2022, Betts had 40 doubles, 35 home runs and three triples. In other words, more than 50 percent of his hits went for extra bases.
Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Freddie Freeman finds himself competing in October once again, and he draws a familiar face in Darvish.
Across 22 at-bats, Freeman has seven hits — two home runs — and a double. He has a 1.036 OPS and three RBI as well.
Despite Darvish's strong start in the Wild Card Round against the Mets, he flirted with danger throughout. Against the Dodgers' offense — No. 1 in wRC+ against right-handed pitching — I don't expect a similar performance.
Sandwiched between Turner and Will Smith in the lineup, Freeman can't be pitched around. He has also been the best Dodgers hitter over the last 30 days, with a 175 wRC+, a .517 slugging and 16 RBI in 25 games.
Darvish has a concerning 9% barrel rate — a career worst — and ranks in the bottom 20 percent of MLB pitchers. That bodes well for Freeman, who hits .338 and has a .956 OPS against right-handed pitching.
Will Smith to Record an RBI (+140)
I bet this in Game 1 and am going back to the well here. The cleanup hitter for the Dodgers was fantastic last night, going 2-for-4 with a pair of doubles and an RBI.
Aside from Turner, Smith was the only other Dodgers hitter making consistent hard contact. Given his spot in the lineup, this prop is hard to pass up.
Betts and Turner both have elite speed in front of him and Freeman has a .918 OPS. The trio should be on the base paths multiple times for Smith to drive them in.
And as mentioned before, Darvish's high barrel rate only helps Smith's chances. He does have a home run off the right-hander and Smith ranks in the 88th percentile of hitters in xSLG.
Action Network projections have this projected at 0.7, over a 10% edge at this current price.
