Mariners vs. Blue Jays Game 1 Odds
| Mariners Odds | +110 |
| Blue Jays Odds | -130 |
| Over/Under | 7 (-105 / -115) |
| Time | 4:07 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN |
| Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
The third game of the postseason proves to be an intriguing one as Luis Castillo steps to the mound to take on Alek Manoah and the Blue Jays. Seattle is making its first appearance in the playoffs since 2001, but a hostile crowd inside the Rogers Centre won't care about that.
The Blue Jays are deserving favorites here, but will they make it into our same-game parlay for this one? Let's get into where we're looking.
The Parlay (+400):
- Each Team Under 4.5 Runs
- Julio Rodriguez to Get a Hit
- Alek Manoah 4+ Hits Allowed
Same-Game Parlay – Mariners vs. Blue Jays
Each Team Under 4.5 Runs
This surely has to be where we start. The under is 15-9-1 in Castillo's 25 starts this season and 20-11 when Manoah has taken the hill. This one has all the makings of a rock fight.
Let's first consider that Manoah held the Mariners in check over 7 1/3 in his only outing against Seattle this year. He yielded two runs on just three hits, walking a costly four batters with seven punchouts. Castillo was solid as well, throwing six innings of two-run ball.
The four walks for Manoah were an outlier given his low 6.5% walk rate this season, and while the Mariners do walk in bunches, one thing they haven't done so well of late is avoid striking out, doing so at a 23.9% rate in the last two weeks. That should give Manoah a bit of a lift, and Castillo should continue his brilliance on the other end.
I like this prop, which is priced at plus money, as opposed to the full-game under. I just don't see either pitcher budging this much.
Julio Rodriguez to Get a Hit
Julio Rodriguez finished his All-Star rookie season with a .284 batting average which is impressive enough, but the fact that he hit .394 from September 1 onward is simply ridiculous.
Rodriguez finished up his season with at least one hit in each of his last five games, and eight hits in total during that span. The fact that he was removed early twice and stepped to the plate just 16 times makes that figure all the more ridiculous.
J-Rod didn't register a hit against Manoah the first time they met, but I still feel very comfortable inserting this as a leg in our parlay. Small sample sizes be damned, we'll take the hitting streak to continue. There have been just two instances in Rodriguez's last 21 games where he didn't record one.
Alek Manoah 4+ Hits Allowed
I know we just discussed how this one should be an epic pitchers' duel, but let's be realistic here. The chances Manoah coughs up four hits — which isn't even a very bad mark — are better than the implied -215 odds.
Manaoha has allowed four or more its in three of his last four outings and in all but two of his last 10. Yes, Seattle has struck out a bit too much for comfort of late, but it's hitting .261 over the last two weeks, which ranks fourth in all of Major League Baseball.
Seattle is hitting the ball well enough to get this covered, and based on the way I waxed poetic about Rodriguez we're probably already a quarter of the way home.
