MLB's Divisional Round rolls on Monday, which means there are plenty of entries to sift through on PrizePicks.
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Here’s how I'd approach Monday's MLB slate, which focuses on Phillies vs. Braves Game 2.
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Matt Olson Less Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
Right-hander Zack Wheeler takes the mound for the Philadelphia Phillies and should be a good candidate to back against the Atlanta Braves.
Wheeler went 13-6 in the regular season with a 3.61 ERA and 1.08 WHIP. His underlying metrics are even better as he ranks in the 87th percentile or higher in xERA, average exit velocity, BB% and Barrel%.
This success, predictably, continued into his first postseason start as Wheeler allowed just one run over 6 2/3 innings en route to a 4-1 win against the Miami Marlins.
That brings us to Matt Olson, who owns a mere .130 xBA, .267 xSLG and .215 xwOBA in 22 career plate appearances against Wheeler.
Olson also failed to surpass this figure in Game 1 of this series, going 1-for-4 with a single.
Michael Harris II Less Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
The other Atlanta hitter to fade on Monday is Michael Harris II, who has failed to surpass this number in seven of his past 13 games. Over that stretch, he owns a mere .245 BA, .377 SLG and .637 OPS.
This dip in production could continue against Wheeler, against whom Harris possesses a fade-worthy .182 BA, .182 SLG and .208 wOBA in 12 career plate appearances.
He went 0-for-4 with two strikeouts in Game 1, and facing superior pitching in Game 2 likely won't help his cause.
Bryce Harper More Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
We're also going to back a member of the Phillies in this contest — superstar Bryce Harper.
Facing left-hander Max Fried certainly won't be an easy task, but Harper should be up for the occasion considering that he boasts a .300 BA, .567 SLG and .407 wOBA with two homers against him in 36 career plate appearances.
Harper has been tremendous over the second half of the season, posting a .303 BA, .669 SLG and 1.107 OPS across his past 52 games.
Therefore, it's not surprising that he's also recorded two or more Hits + Runs + RBI in 10 of his past 15 games. Surprisingly enough, Harper has generated more power against left-handers this season, which could give him some success against Fried.
