The 2025 MLB season begins on Tuesday (at least for the Dodgers and Cubs), but before you dive into the Tokyo Series, you might want to catch up on how to bet all 30 teams in the MLB futures market.
Below, you'll find MLB futures bets for all 30 teams, featuring predictions and picks on everything from season-long stat leaders (home runs, wins, etc.), win total over-unders, award winners and more.
MLB Predictions, Props, Futures Picks | Bets for All 30 Teams
Click on a team below to navigate to its section.
| AMERICAN LEAGUE EAST | NATIONAL LEAGUE EAST |
|---|---|
| AMERICAN LEAGUE CENTRAL | NATIONAL LEAGUE CENTRAL |
| AMERICAN LEAGUE WEST | NATIONAL LEAGUE WEST |
American League East
New York Yankees
Bet: Aaron Judge Most Regular Season Home Runs (+400; DraftKings)
By Kyle Murray
+400 feels like a gift as Judge is +260 on FanDuel and +270 on BetMGM.
Judge has hit 58+ home runs in two of his last three seasons as he continues to benefit from an extremely hitter-friendly ballpark.
I know it's not sexy to take the favorite, but if he stays healthy, this number is too high.
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Baltimore Orioles
Bet: Gunnar Henderson to Win AL MVP (+750; DraftKings)
By Kyle Murray
Henderson is coming off an exceptional season in which he finished fourth in AL MVP voting.
One of the best hitters in baseball last season, Henderson ranked in the 92nd percentile or better in xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, exit velocity and hard-hit%.
Henderson had 37 HRs last year, and while it would take an incredible season to improve on that, he could improve on his stolen-base numbers and find himself in the MVP discussion again thanks to his ability to dominate at the plate and on the bases.
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Toronto Blue Jays
Bet: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. to Win AL MVP (+1800; DraftKings)
By Sean Zerillo
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is worth a bet in a contract year in an AL East that looks wide open for the taking.
However, Vlad's MVP odds aren't so dissimilar from his hits leader and RBI leader odds; I would personally bet into all three markets.
The primary concern with the MVP bet is that Vlad could get traded to the NL, but both he (and the Blue Jays) are likely out of contention for anything meaningful if that comes to pass anyway. He finished third in WAR for the second half of the season (3.7) in the AL last year.
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Tampa Bay Rays
Bet: Rays to Make Playoffs (+230 to +200; BetRivers)
By Sean Zerillo
I missed out on betting the Rays to go over 79.5 wins at the open and would pass at current numbers (81.5), but I like their chances to make the playoffs —and make a deep run — a bit more than the odds suggest.
I projected their playoff odds at +181 (35.6% implied) — slightly worse than the composite projection — but still show an edge relative to the best available odds at +230 (30.3% implied) and would take that down to around +200.
The public projection market also likes their chances of making a deep run, setting their World Series odds at +4405 (+6000 listed); I sprinkled their AL Pennant odds at +3000 and would take +2000 or better.
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Boston Red Sox
Bet: Alex Bregman Over 19.5 Home Runs (-122; FanDuel)
By Kyle Murray
While it sounds like there is some drama about his defensive position, Bregman is going to play a lot one way or another.
Bregman made the move to Boston due to the hitter-friendly ballpark, and he has dominated in Fenway Park in his career. Since 2017, Bregman has a .357 batting average, a 1.917 OPS, a 225 wRC+ and seven HRs in 21 games at Fenway.
I am firmly in the camp that the Red Sox overpaid Bregman, but I do think he has a strong season and rejuvenates his power numbers.
The last time he had fewer than 23 HRs in a year in which he played the full season was 2017.
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American League Central
Minnesota Twins
Bet: Twins to Make Playoffs (-110 or better; BetRivers)
By Sean Zerillo
I like the Twins' organizational depth much more than I did last season — when injuries crippled their campaign — and I view them as one of the two leading contenders in the AL Central for 2025.
While the composite projection leans under, even the least optimistic projection (36.4%, +175 implied) views them as a value bet in the divisional market, with PECOTA as high as 56.5% (-130 implied) to win the Central. However, I projected value on a second AL Central team that is trying a bit harder to improve.
That said, the projection market views the Twins as a relatively strong playoff bet at plus money. The lowest projection is 50.2%, and the consensus is 58%, compared to odds as high as +120 (45.5% implied) market-wide. I'd take -110 or better.
While there's correlated value on Minnesota to win the World Series (projected +1896, listed +3500) or to win the AL Pennant, I can't invest too heavily in a club that has refused to invest in its roster.
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Detroit Tigers
Bet: Jackson Jobe — AL Rookie of the Year (+1000; DraftKings)
By Kyle Murray
With Alex Cobb set to miss the first few weeks of the season, that all but secures Jobe's spot in the rotation to start the season — and I am not expecting him to let that spot go.
We saw Tigers manager A.J. Hinch show major faith in Jobe last season, giving him several opportunities in the postseason. It has been reported that Jobe added two new pitches — a curveball and two-seam/sinker — to his mix as he hopes to improve his strikeout rate. Jobe had a 26% K% in the minors last season, with a CSW% over 30%.
I think he will benefit from having one of the best pitching coaching staffs in MLB, while also learning from reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Tarik Skubal and World Series Champion Jack Flaherty
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Cleveland Guardians
Bet: Guardians to Not Make the Playoffs (-175 or better; DraftKings)
By Sean Zerillo
Every projection likes the Guardians to go under their win total (peak of 82 from Davenport); I'd recommend the under to 82 since my projection is in direct alignment with the public.
Additionally, every projection sees the Guardians as an excellent bet to miss the playoffs; PECOTA gives them the best chance, at 22.7% (+341), and I'd bet them to miss the playoffs up to -175, if not higher.
Their lineup should suffer after trading Josh Naylor and Andres Gimenez, and their bullpen — including Emmanuel Clase, who struggled in October — could burn out after strenuous usage in 2024.
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Kansas City Royals
Bet: Cole Ragans American League Cy Young Winner (+1100; FanDuel)
By Kyle Murray
When you look at the history of Cy Young Award winners, we have seen several breakout players post strong seasons and then take another massive step forward to win the hardware — Ragans could be that guy this season.
He had an excellent season last year to help fuel the Royals' unlikely run to the postseason. Much like reigning AL Cy Young winner Tarik Skubal, Ragans is an electric southpaw in a soft division.
If Ragans is able to find a way to bring his ERA down, his elite strikeout numbers could catapult him into Cy Young consideration. Ragans had a 29.3% K%, 10.8 K/BB ratio and 1.14 WHIP last season.
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Chicago White Sox
Bet: Over 53.5 Wins (-110; DraftKings)
By Collin Whitchurch
From a talent standpoint, this version of the White Sox might actually be worse than last year's 41-win team. Their win total for this year opened at 51.5 but was quickly bet up as all the public projection systems out there like this team to win at least 60 games.
For the purposes of this bet, the White Sox going over means they have to improve by 13 wins this year, which seems insane. But there is a pathway to this team being better — some of it is luck based, but there's also the fact that they're no longer beholden to underperforming top-line options — like Eloy Jimenez and Tim Anderson — who got playing time no matter what.
That's not the case this year; they can actually act like a true rebuilding team. They can roster churn to see what they have — something they refused to do last year.
Another point in their favor is the upgrade at manager. Pedro Grifol might go down as the worst manager in major league history — from a wins-loss perspective, that's irrefutable. New manager Will Venable has spent a lot of time working with a number of successful managers like Joe Maddon and Bruce Bochy.
While it doesn't necessarily look good on paper once again, the White Sox are acting like an actual big-league club behind the scenes from a scouting and data standpoint. It's insane that it's taken until 2025 for the Sox to get to this point, but they have finally gotten there.
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American League West
Houston Astros
Bet: Yordan Alvarez Most Regular Season RBI (+2500, bet to +1700; bet365)
By Sean Zerillo
I'm still waiting for Yordan Alvarez to make 'the leap' and it could happen with him DH'ing more in 2025.
Alvarez profiles as a .320 hitter with 45-50 homers at peak; it's coming in one of the following three seasons (with good health), and I'd rather be a year early than a year late.
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Texas Rangers
Bet: Adolis García Over 25.5 Home Runs (-120; FanDuel)
By Kyle Murray
García is coming off a down and injury-riddled season. However, this season, he appears to be fully healthy after some offseason procedures, and I think he is primed for another season of 30+ home runs in a strong Texas lineup.
Despite hitting just 25 HRs last season, García was still amongst the best in baseball in a few key stats, including exit velocity (78th percentile), barrel% (85th percentile) and hard-hit% (87th percentile).
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Seattle Mariners
Bet: Logan Gilbert AL Cy Young Winner (+1600; DraftKings)
By Kyle Murray
The Mariners had an up-and-down season in 2024, but Gilbert was excellent from an individual standpoint. He took a big leap in terms of his strikeout upside, as he fanned 27.5% of hitters for 220 total Ks.
Gilbert also threw a career-high 208 innings. While he had a record of just 9-12, that number should improve since he had an ERA of just 3.23.
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Los Angeles Angels
Bet: Mike Trout Over 22.5 Home Runs (-122; FanDuel)
By Kyle Murray
Trout has not been able to stay healthy over the last few years — he has only played 100+ games in one of the last five seasons.
However, this is simply one of those numbers that will look absolutely silly if we are able to just get 100+ games in. Last season, he played in 29 games and had 10 HRs. He had 18 HRs in 82 games the season before that, and in 2022 when he played 119 games, he had 40 bombs.
This is obviously a risky bet considering Trout's health, but again, if he can even play 50% of games this season, he could easily go over this number (not to mention if he plays 70-75% of games).
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Athletics
Bet: Brent Rooker Most Regular Season Home Runs (+3000; DraftKings)
By Kyle Murray
Obviously, this is going to take some help from outside forces — like down seasons from Aaron Judge and Shohei Ohtani — as we likely aren't getting 55-plus home runs from Rooker — although I don't think it's outside of the range of outcomes.
Rooker showed big-time power last season — he hit 39 HRs while playing in a home park that was very penalizing to hitters. This season, the A's are set to play in a temporary park that was previously used by a minor-league team.
While this likely won't automatically result in the A's playing in an extreme hitter-friendly park, even shifting to a neutral park will definitely be an improvement from the Coliseum. This is likely something that books will have trouble factoring in more than others.
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National League East
Atlanta Braves
Bet: Braves to Win NL East (+160 to +110; Caesars)
By Sean Zerillo
The Braves had an average public projection of 99.4 wins last season and still finished 89-73 despite playing nearly the entire year without Spencer Strider and Ronald Acuña Jr. — both of whom are set to return in 2025.
While the market leans slightly toward the over on their win total, the divisional odds offer much more value. The least optimistic projection (46.7%, +114 implied from PECOTA) would still recommend Atlanta as a value bet, and their consensus odds are well north of 60%; take +110 or better.
The Braves' divisional odds have dropped from +160 to +135 since I bet it two weeks ago, but you can still get Atlanta to secure a Round 1 bye at +195; bet that prop to +175.
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Philadelphia Phillies
Bet: Zack Wheeler National League Cy Young Winner (+800; BetMGM)
By Kyle Murray
Wheeler will certainly have some stiff competition in this category — the current favorite is one of the budding stars and face of MLB in Paul Skenes, who finished third in NL Cy Young Award voting last season despite not debuting until May.
However, I think +800 on Wheeler offers some value — it currently sits at +700 on other books.
With strong numbers across the board, Wheeler finished second in NL Cy Young voting last season. Wheeler does fall short of some of the elite strikeout pitchers when you look at overall K% — he was at 28.5% last season — but his longevity and ability to work deep into games makes up for that.
Wheeler posted elite numbers last season, including a 2.57 ERA, 10.0 K/BB ratio, 0.96 WHIP and 3.30 xFIP. He is also on one of the best projected teams in baseball, so he should do well in the wins category once again.
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New York Mets
Bet: Pete Alonso Most Regular Season RBI (+2000, bet to +1500; BetRivers)
By Sean Zerillo
Pete Alonso found his stroke near the end of last season.
High fly-ball power hitters tend to go through long stretches of dominance or ineptitude, and Alonso may be poised for a big season in 2025. He also has the ability to opt out of his new contract and let Vladimir Guerrero Jr. reset the market for first basemen in free agency next offseason.
Hitting behind an on-base machine like Juan Soto should substantially boost Alonso's RBI total.
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Miami Marlins
Bet: Under 63.5 Wins (-105; BetMGM)
By Kyle Murray
Miami won 62 games last season. It's hard to see them improving on that mark this year given their lack of offseason additions and a handful of notable subtractions. The Marlins are also stuck in what is shaping up to be the best division in baseball.
Jake Burger led the team in hits, home runs and RBI last season. He's been traded to Texas. Bryan De La Cruz was second in home runs and third in RBI. He signed with Atlanta. Key veterans Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Josh Bell were traded last season.
According to Vegas, the NL East is the best division in the league. The Braves, Phillies and Mets are among the top five in highest win total lines. The books have each team priced above 90 wins.
The schedule is more balanced these days, but Miami still has to play that trio 39 times. Maybe the Marlins can beat up on the Nationals, but that didn't work out too well last season; Washington beat Miami 11 out of 13 times in 2024.
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Washington Nationals
Bet: James Wood Over 17.5 Home Runs (-106; FanDuel)
By Charlie Wright
This number really stuck out to me.
DraftKings has their season-long home run props organized by milestone; they have Wood at -140 to hit 20+ home runs. The majority of the popular projection systems (FanGraphs, Steamer, ZiPS) have Wood for 20+ home runs. THE BAT X is the only system below 20. The OOPSY projections, a new system from Jordan Rosenblum, has Wood at 22 home runs.
Wood was a top prospect who showed prodigious power at multiple minor-league stops. His first taste of MLB action was largely a success, as he posted a .781 OPS and a 120 wRC+ across 79 games (336 PAs).
Strikeouts were an issue (28.9% K%), but he also had a double-digit walk rate. Wood's swinging strike rate was a reasonable 10.4%, so passivity seemed like the main culprit when it came to strikeouts.
Of 286 players with 300+ plate appearances last season, Wood had the fourth-lowest zone swing rate. He could easily trim the strikeout rate by swinging more often. Every projection system has Wood improving his the strikeout rate this year.
There's one number I haven't mentioned, and it's arguably the most important one. Wood hit just nine home runs in the big leagues last season.
He had a 55.1% ground-ball rate, which is insanely high for a power hitter. It ranked seventh out of 286 players with 300+ plate appearances. Not good!
But the quality of contact suggests 40-homer upside. Wood ranked 14th in hard-hit rate last season (minimum 300 PAs). He was 15th in average exit velocity. Wood was eighth in EV50, which takes the average exit velocity of the hardest 50% of a player's batted balls. The players ahead of him might sound familiar: Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge, Oneil Cruz, Shohei Ohtani, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Juan Soto, Kyle Schwarber. Pretty good company.
Maybe Wood keeps hitting ground balls at Nicky Lopez levels. Maybe he watches more strikes than Steven Kwan again. It just seems unlikely that a 22-year-old elite prospect who held his own as a rookie wouldn't improve in one or both of those areas.
I'm betting on a guy who hits the ball as hard as the best power hitters in the game.
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National League Central
St. Louis Cardinals
Best Bet: Thomas Saggese NL Rookie of the Year (+3000; Bally Bet)
By Sean Zerillo
Saggese, who debuted at age 22 last season, should be the Cardinals' first man up from the minor leagues; he has a path to full playing time for a team in a transitionary year (especially if Nolan Arenado is traded), and could slug 25 homers in an infield utility role.
Saggese smashed in the Arizona Fall League (1.118 OOPS in 18 games) and has performed well in spring.
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Chicago Cubs
Bet: Kyle Tucker to Win NL MVP (+1600; ESPN Bet)
By Kyle Murray
Tucker played in just 78 games last season for the Astros, but he was awesome in those games and totaled 23 home runs.
There have been a few common trends for previous MVPs, and those players have usually been amongst the best in terms of OPS and wRC+. Last season, Tucker would've been second in the NL in both of those categories.
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Cincinnati Reds
Bet: Over 78.5 Wins (-110; DraftKings)
By Sean Zerillo
Cincinnati is the team I'm highest on compared to public projections — a five-win gap between expectations.
In fact, every public projection would lean under on the Reds' win total, but I would bet over 78.5 and lean into their divisional odds at +450 or better (projected +341).
Elly De La Cruz (3rd in NL WAR in 2024) is an MVP-caliber player and Hunter Greene has developed into one of the best (and most electric) pitchers in the NL. They're also getting Matt McLain back from injury and Noelvi Marte back from suspension, and retained Nick Martinez (perhaps the most underrated pitcher in baseball last season) and added two effective bullpen arms.
They have five effective major-league starting pitchers and three former first-round picks — Rhett Lowder, Chase Burns and Chase Petty — sitting in Triple-A.
There is upside — and prospect pedigree — all over the Reds' 40-man roster, including slugger Christian Encarnacion-Strand on the bench. I expect new manager Terry Francona to get the most out of this roster.
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Milwaukee Brewers
Bet: Brewers to Miss Playoffs (-140 to -120; Bally Bet)
By Sean Zerillo
After cashing my divisional long-shot ticket on the Brewers last season, I'm fading their postseason chances in 2025.
I give Milwaukee just shy of a 39% chance of returning to the postseason (+159 implied), and the public projections (+184) are even less optimistic. Bet Milwaukee to miss the playoffs, up to -140.
They lost their best player and clubhouse leader in Willy Adames. Their bullpen could have some burnout after extreme usage last year, and I don't trust Christian Yelich to play to expectations after suffering another significant back injury.
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Pittsburgh Pirates
Bet: Oneil Cruz Over 22.5 Home Runs (+100; Caesars)
By Grant Neiffer
In terms of raw power, I don't think there's a better player in the league with more than Oneil Cruz.
According to Statcast, he ranked in the 100th percentile in bat speed, 99th percentile in average exit velocity, and 97th percentile in both barrel % and hard-hit %.
Basically he's incredible when he actually hits the ball — the one caveat, of course, are the strikeouts as he punched out at over a 30% clip in 2024.
For me, 22.5 isn't that high of a number for a player everyone is waiting on to break out. This number is drastically too low for him.
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National League West
Los Angeles Dodgers
Bet: Blake Snell Under 199.5 Strikeouts (-113; FanDuel)
By William Boor
Simply put, 200 strikeouts is a lot.
Blake Snell, over the course of his nine-year Major League career, has only gone over 199.5 strikeouts twice (2018 and 2023). In those seasons, he started 31 and 32 games. In his other seven seasons, he's started 27 or fewer games.
A stat like this is dependent on volume and Snell is coming off a 2024 campaign in which he racked up 145 strikeouts over 104 innings (20 starts). Yes, his 12.5 K/9 last season was the highest of his career, but pitchers don't tend to get healthier as they age.
Even if Snell remains healthy all season, the Dodgers — once Shohei Ohtani returns to the mound — are likely to use a six-man rotation. That'll limit Snell's starts.
Also, the Dodgers are playing for October — not to rack up wins in July — so it wouldn't be shocking to see them occasionally pull their starters an inning or two early.
Snell certainly has the talent to go over this number, but I'm not sure the volume will be there.
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Arizona Diamondbacks
Bet: Corbin Carroll Over 21.5 Home Runs (-106; FanDuel)
By Nick Galaida
Corbin Carroll slumped to a .213 batting average and 76 wRC+ through the end of June last summer, resulting in an eventual demotion to the bottom-third of the Diamondbacks' lineup. The good news is that Carroll's talent didn't disappear for the entirety of 2024, offering hope that the beginning of last season was the exception rather than the norm for what to expect from him going forward.
From July 1 to the end of the regular season, Carroll hit 20 home runs and posted a 139 wRC+ — the latter of which ranked 18th in MLB and seventh among qualified outfielders.
His turnaround coincided with a mechanical adjustment — working to keep his stride length under control — offering additional evidence that his early season struggles in 2024 are behind him.
Even in an underwhelming year, Carroll hit 22 home runs and improved his plate discipline, which allowed him to walk at a double-digit clip. He was one of 36 players with 20 home runs and a 10%+ walk rate.
Carroll's approach at the plate has matured, which should mean he's less vulnerable to the type of extended slumps we saw from him last year. If he's healthy, he's a legitimate threat for 25+ home runs.
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San Diego Padres
Bet: Dylan Cease National League Cy Young Award Winner (+2500, FanDuel)
By Kyle Murray
Cease is just two years removed from his career-best campaign (when he should have won the AL Cy Young, in my opinion).
While it was an up-and-down season for him last year, he still checks a ton of boxes for things we are looking for in a Cy Young candidate, and +2500 looks like strong value as it sits at +1600 on other books.
Cease needs to bring down his ERA from the 3.47 mark he posted last season, but his 29.4% K% could be a number that remains consistent, or even improves, as he has been above 29% in three of his last four seasons. Cease also had an elite 10.65 K/BB ratio and 1.07 WHIP last season.
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San Francisco Giants
Bet: Logan Webb NL Cy Young Award Winner (+3000, bet to +2500; FanDuel)
By Sean Zerillo
Logan Webb doesn't have a high strikeout rate, but he's a high-floor innings eater (613 IP since 2022, 15 more than any other pitcher) who should benefit from upgraded team defense.
Webb finished sixth in Cy Young voting last season, following a second-place finish in 2023, and an 11th place finish in 2022.
The Giants ranked as a bottom-10 defensive team (per Defensive Runs Saved) in all three seasons, and they have been terrible at shortstop. While Willy Adames had a down 2024 season defensively (-16 DRS, 35th among Shortstops), he was a plus defender in both 2022 and 2023 (combined +17 DRS) and figures to provide the Giants with a league-average glove at the position, joining five-time gold glover Matt Chapman on the left side of the infield.
Tyler Fitzgerald (-6 at shortstop in 2024) will move to second base (+1 in six games) and the Giants will have a competent defensive outfield, too. Heliot Ramos should be fine in a corner (+6 in 2024) after struggling in center field (-15 in 60 games) in place of Jung Hoo Lee (-2 in 37 games).
Webb's K-BB% has fluctuated around 5% up or down over each of the past four seasons; if he can push that rate back near 20% — with improved team defense — he should finish with a sub-3 ERA and on the Cy Young shortlist.
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Colorado Rockies
Bet: Michael Toglia Over 23.5 Home Runs (+100; FanDuel)
By Kyle Murray
Toglia is one of my favorite breakout candidates this season; I am expecting big things following his strong 2024.
Last season, Toglia hit 25 HRs, and while he obviously gets the added luxury of playing his home games at Coors Field, he ranked in the 91st percentile or better in xSLG, barrel%, hard-hit% and launch angle. All of these stats are conducive to power numbers, so give me the over here at even money.
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