Saturday's MLB slate features 17 games, which means there are plenty of player props to take advantage of across the board.
Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.
Enter PrizePicks.
With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.
Therefore, let’s take a look at some of the options on Saturday's Major League Baseball slate and see where we can find some value to turn a profit.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: you can combine up to five different O/U player props to payout up to 10x your wager.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.
Here’s how I would approach today’s MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.
MLB PrizePicks Plays for Saturday, May 28
Logan Gilbert Pitcher Fantasy Score Over 27.5
We have the second matchup of this three-game AL West series as the Seattle Mariners host the Houston Astros.
Right-hander Logan Gilbert has been an emerging star for the Mariners this season, sitting 4-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.10 WHIP through nine starts.
Gilbert has now gone over this fantasy total in eight of his nine starts this season (89%), as he racks up strikeouts while rarely giving up more than three earned runs. I believe we're getting great value in this number due to the fact that Gilbert got rocked in his one outing against the Astros last season.
That being said, Gilbert has improved immensely since then and should be backed until he shows any signs of regression.
Ty France Hitter Fantasy Score Over 6.5
I'm also backing a few Mariners hitters in this game as they're slated to go against right-hander Jose Urquidy. Through eight starts this season, Urquidy possesses a 4.24 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.
His metrics are even worse, as Urquidy possesses a .401 xwOBA, .315 xBA and .622 xSLG. In his lone start against the Mariners this season, Urquidy got shelled, allowing six runs on eight hits in four innings pitched.
France homered in that game and added a single as he soared over this total.
Julio Rodriguez Hitter Fantasy Score Over 6
The other Mariners hitter I'm backing in this game is Julio Rodriguez. Going back to the game against Urquidy earlier this season, Rodriguez also went over his fantasy score total, going 1-4 with a single, a run scored and an RBI.
We could see an even better performance from Rodriguez this time around, as he generated a .653 xBA, .865 xSLG and .650 xwOBA in that game. Rodriguez has been on fire lately, homering in three of his last four games and should be a good candidate for continued success in this outing.
Chad Kuhl Pitcher Fantasy Score Under 23.5
In the second game of Saturday's doubleheader against the Washington Nationals, right-hander Chad Kuhl is slated to take the mound for the Colorado Rockies.
This total is set too high for a pitcher who usually does not go deep in games and is not a strikeout artist.
Kuhl has failed to go over this total in each of his last three starts and could be a good fade candidate once again. The Nationals have been much better against right-handed pitchers this season, as 11 of their 16 wins have come against right-handers and they rank third in the league in BA against righties.
Over his last two starts against Washington, Kuhl is 0-2 and has given up 10 earned runs.
Joan Adon Pitcher Fantasy Score Over 25.5
While I'm fading Colorado's starting pitcher in the second game of Saturday's doubleheader, I'm also backing Washington's starting pitcher. I think we are getting great value in this number due to Adon's poor surface-level stats this season.
Through nine starts, Adon possesses a 6.97 ERA and 1.718 WHIP. While those numbers are obviously terrible, they're greatly inflated due to his last start against the Dodgers in which he gave up six runs on seven hits through 4.2 innings.
Additionally, the Rockies have not faced Adon before, and it could take a few innings to figure him out.
