We have a stacked 15-game MLB slate on Tuesday, which means there are plenty of entries to sift through on PrizePicks.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: You can combine up to five different player squares to pay out up to 10x your entry.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.
Here’s how I would approach Tuesday's MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player picks in which you combine two or more entries together.
Corey Seager Fantasy Score Less Than 7.5
The second installment of this three-game series between the Chicago White Sox and Texas Rangers gets underway on Tuesday night. Slated to take the mound for Chicago is right-hander Dylan Cease.
After a dreadful start to the season, Cease has turned things around recently. Over his past seven starts, the Cease boasts a 3.00 ERA and 1.15 WHIP. This resurgence was relatively predictable given that Cease finished last year in the 90th percentile or higher in xERA, HardHit%, xwOBA, xSLG and xBA.
The first Texas hitter to fade is Corey Seager.
While Seager has put together a terrific season, he has struggled against Cease. While it is a sample size of just one game, Seager went 0-for-3 against Cease in that encounter.
Seager has stayed below this number in three of his past five games.
Marcus Semien Fantasy Score Less Than 7
The other Rangers hitter to fade is Marcus Semien, who has also put together a stellar season. With that said, his underlying metrics suggest regression is looming.
Semien ranks in the 48th percentile or lower in Average Exit Velocity, HardHit%, xwOBA, xSLG and Barrel%. The downturn could hit against Cease — Semien is 0-for-6 in his career against the Chicago starter.
There has already been signs of regression for Semien, who has been below this number in four of his past five games.
Dansby Swanson Fantasy Score More Than 7.5
The Pittsburgh Pirates host the Chicago Cubs in the second game of this series between NL Central rivals. Taking the mound for Pittsburgh is right-hander Johan Oviedo, who should be a good fade candidate in this contest.
Through 14 starts, Oviedo is 3-6 with a 4.40 ERA and 1.47 WHIP. His underlying metrics are also underwhelming as he ranks in the 51st percentile or lower in HardHit%, xERA/xwOBA, xBA, K% and Chase Rate.
The first Chicago hitter to back is Dansby Swanson.
While Swanson's first season with the Cubs has been relatively quiet, his underlying metrics suggest positive regression is looming. The shortstop ranks in the 65th percentile or higher in xwOBA, xBA, xSLG and Barrel%.
Nico Hoerner Fantasy Score More Than 8
The other Cubs hitter to back is Nico Hoerner, who is a contact machine at the dish. Not only does he possess a .284 BA, but he also boasts a .290 xBA and ranks in the 98th percentile or higher in K% and Whiff%.
This plate control has translated well in his career against Oviedo, a pitcher Hoerner is 5-for-7 against (.714). Entering this matchup in good form, the Stanford product has surpassed this number in six of his past 10 games.
Since 2021, Hoerner possesses a .287 BA, .392 SLG and .734 OPS when facing right-handed pitching.
