We have a stacked 16-game MLB slate on Tuesday, which means there are plenty of entries to sift through on PrizePicks.
A quick refresher if you aren’t familiar with PrizePicks: You can combine up to five different player squares to pay out up to 10x your entry.
You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play provides lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. A Power Play is all-or-nothing.
Here’s how I would approach Tuesday's MLB slate.
What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player picks in which you combine two or more entries together.
Bo Bichette Fantasy Score Less Than 7
Right-hander Michael King gets the ball for the New York Yankees and should be a good candidate to back against the Toronto Blue Jays.
King was a serviceable reliever, but with the season already chalked, the Yankees decided to give him a try in the rotation. To say that decision has paid off would be an understatement as he has absolutely earned a spot in the rotation for next year.
Over his past six starts since moving to the starters role full time, King boasts a 1.27 ERA and 0.99 WHIP. His underlying metrics suggested this success would be possible as the right-hander ranks in the 88th percentile or higher in xERA, average exit velocity and Hard-Hit%.
His most recent start was his best one yet, allowing just one run on five hits through seven innings while racking up 13 strikeouts. His opponent in that contest? Toronto.
That brings us to Bo Bichette, who has put together a strong campaign. With that said, he typically struggles against right-handed pitching as his splits drop by roughly 18% this year when doing so.
He has also not fared nearly as well at the Rogers Centre as his splits see an approximate 15% decrease when playing on his home diamond.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Fantasy Score Less Than 7
In a play with some solid correlation, we are going to fade the guy who hits directly behind Bichette in the batting order: Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Like Bichette, Guerrero Jr. has put together a solid season. However, there are multiple reasons to not like him in this contest.
First of all, he is just 2-14 in his career against King with four strikeouts. His analytics across those 14 plate appearances aren't good either, posting a .163 xBA, .219 xSLG and .166 xwOBA.
Also like Bichette, Guerrero Jr. has struggled at the Rogers Centre as his splits drop by roughly 19%. Finally, he has failed to surpass this number in three of his past five games.
Aaron Judge Fantasy Score More Than 7
We are also going to back a member of the Yankees against Toronto right-hander Kevin Gausman.
Gausman is certainly a solid pitcher, posting a 12-9 record with a 3.29 ERA and 1.20 WHIP through 30 starts. However, his 3.81 xERA suggests that slight regression is likely.
Gausman also ranks in the 22nd percentile or lower in Barrel% and Hard-Hit%, which is a particularly dangerous aspect of pitching to struggle at when facing Aaron Judge. Therefore, you will not be surprised to learn that Judge boasts a .290 BA, .645 SLG and .455 wOBA with three homers through 31 career at-bats against Gausman.
Judge also enters this contest in great form, surpassing this figure in three of his past four games while averaging 19 fantasy points over that stretch.
