Check out our two favorite MLB pitcher props for Tuesday's slate, courtesy of the Action Labs Player Props tool.
Our Action Labs Props Tool grades each prop on a scale from 1-10, and I’ll be sure to include the grade for each of my betting recommendations in my discussions below.
Drew Hutchison Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-141)
| Astros @ Tigers | |
| First Pitch | 6:40 p.m. ET |
| Best Line | BetRivers |
It's like clockwork.
Vegas sets Drew Hutchison's strikeout total at 2.5, and he punches out between three or four every game. He's done exactly this in 11 straight starts, and I've bet on every single one of Hutchison's props.
Hutchison does nothing special. He doesn't pitch too many innings. He strikes out only about 5.25 batters per nine innings. Plus, he has a tough matchup today vs. the Astros.
That doesn't matter, however, as Hutchison struck out four Astros over just 45 pitches in a recent start.
Because, again, Hutchison goes over this line in every single start. Our Action Labs Projections have him at 4.0 strikeouts tonight while FanGraphs SaberSim projections have him at 3.2.
Hutchison will finish with either three or four strikeouts, and we will cash this number.
Pick: Over 2.5 Ks (-141)
Action Labs Grade: 8/10
Jordan Montgomery Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-143)
| Brewers @ Cardinals | |
| First Pitch | 7:45 p.m. ET |
| Best Line | BetRivers |
Jordon Montgomery has been nothing but spectacular since joining the Cardinals. He has a 1.47 ERA over seven starts with the playoff-bound squad.
Montgomery has also stepped up his stuff. He's posted a whopping 14% Swinging-Strike Rate this season, ranking above the 85th percentile of pitchers. His 29.6% Whiff Rate would be a career high and is top-10 among pitchers with at least 150 innings tossed this year.
As such, Montgomery has cashed strikeout totals. He's hit this number in 15 of his 28 starts this year. He also has struck out seven or more batters in five of his last 10 starts.
One of those starts was against the strikeout-happy Brewers, when Montgomery fanned eight over six innings pitched. The Brewers have struck out at the highest rate against LHPs over the last month (29.6%). The Brewers have allowed six of the past seven lefties to cash their strikeout totals.
Our Action Labs Player Props Tool projects Montgomery for 6.3 strikeouts today, while FanGraphs SaberSim Projections have Montgomery at 5.6 strikeouts.
Pick: Jordan Montgomery Over 4.5 Ks (-143)
Action Labs Grade: 10/10
