Make sure you add these two MLB pitching props to your Thursday gambling card.
Our Action Labs Props Tool grades each prop on a scale from 1-10, and I’ll be sure to include the grade for each of my betting recommendations in my discussions below.
Shane Bieber Over 6.5 Strikeouts (-115)
| Orioles @ Guardians | |
| First Pitch | 6:10 p.m. ET |
| Best Line | DraftKings |
Shane Bieber won't be in the Cy Young conversation this season, but he's been worth his weight.
And you can always count on him for strikeouts.
Bieber ranks above the 87th percentile in both swinging-strike rate (14.1%) and CSW rate (32%). His strikeout rate is down this season, but it's popped up a few points over the last six starts.
Bieber has cashed this line in four of his last six starts, picking up a whopping 43 strikeouts during the stretch.
And the last time he took on the Orioles, Bieber notched 11 punchouts over just 98 pitches. He forced 21 swinging strikes and finished with a CSW rate just north of 40%.
The Orioles have allowed the last two opposing starting pitchers to go over, and I'm ready to believe it will happen again. Our internal projections mark Bieber for 7.8 strikeouts Thursday evening.
Pick: Over 6.5 Ks (-115)
Action Labs Grade: 9/10
Spencer Strider Under 7.5 Strikeouts (-125)
| Rockies @ Braves | |
| First Pitch | 7:20 p.m. ET |
| Best Line | DraftKings |
Oh, boy. This one is going to hurt.
Spencer Strider — known as Quadzilla to many — has become a very exciting young pitcher in the National League. His fastball touches triple digits with play, and he paints it better than almost any pitcher in the league.
Spencer Strider painting with 100 🎨 pic.twitter.com/XdsbzqDaE0
— Bally Sports: Braves (@BravesOnBally) August 27, 2022
As a result, Strider is striking out a whopping 36.7% of batters he's faced this season. That's the highest in baseball among pitchers who've tossed 100+ innings. His swinging-strike rate is over 15%, which ranks in the 93rd percentile of pitchers.
But our internal projections mark Strider for just six strikeouts today. Besides, Strider has hit this mark in just two of his previous seven starts.
Plus, The Rockies have been good recently from a plate discipline perspective, striking out at the ninth-lowest rate over the last month (21.2%).
When Strider took on the Rockies earlier this season, he managed just five strikeouts over 87 pitches. He failed to crack 10 swinging-strikes his 24% CSW rate was almost 7% below his season-long mark.
Pick: Under 7.5 Ks (-125)
Action Labs Grade: 10/10
