The umpires for all seven games of the 2024 World Series between the Yankees and Dodgers have been announced, and using our historic betting data, we can glean how each umpire trends for their career and this season.
It's loose data — there's more that goes into it than that — but this information can be a jumping off point to incorporate into your data set.
World Series Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 1: Carlos Torres
| Over ROI (2024) | Under ROI (2024) | Over ROI (Career) | Under ROI (Career) |
|---|---|---|---|
| -15% | 8.2% | 2.7% | -8.4% |
There's no consistent trend for Torres, who has hit the under hard this season but had historically been an umpire more tethered toward the over. This season, he's umpired 54 games behind the plate and has gone 15-12 to the under.
Over his career, that dataset encompasses a total of 1,108 games. In those games, he's 129-115-4 to the over.
World Series Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 2: Andy Fletcher
| Over ROI (2024) | Under ROI (2024) | Over ROI (Career) | Under ROI (Career) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 38.5% | -43.9% | -9.7% | 5.2% |
In 24 games this season, Fletcher has had a staggering 38.5% ROI on the over this season, meaning a $100 per game bettor would be up $885 by simply betting the over when he umpires. His record this season is 16-6-1 to the over.
This is, of course, over a very small sample size. Over his career, he's better news for the under across 554 games behind the plate, going 282-239-33.
World Series Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 3: Mark Carlson
| Over ROI (2024) | Under ROI (2024) | Over ROI (Career) | Under ROI (Career) |
|---|---|---|---|
| -22.6% | 19.2% | -2.5% | -2.8% |
In his career, Mark Carlson has umped 1,128 games behind the plate. In those games, he's had an even 270-270-24 on both the over and under, a curious symbiosis between both lines.
This season, over a much smaller 24 game sample size, he's been tethered toward the under with a 14-9-1 record.
World Series Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 4: Doug Eddings
| Over ROI (2024) | Under ROI (2024) | Over ROI (Career) | Under ROI (Career) |
|---|---|---|---|
| -22.7% | 16.5% | -9.2% | 4.2% |
During the 26 MLB games this season in which Eddings has served as the home plate umpire, the under is 15-10-1 with a 16.5% ROI compared to a -22.7% ROI on the over.
Over his career, the under is also king. He's 310-260-33 for a 4.2% ROI on the under compared to a -9.2% ROI on his over.
World Series Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 5: Mark Ripperger
| Over ROI (2024) | Under ROI (2024) | Over ROI (Career) | Under ROI (Career) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16% | -23.3% | -1.1% | -4.4% |
Mark Ripperger has been relatively even over his career to both the over and under, with his record favoring the over ever so slightly with a 150-146-11 record. But bettors still wouldn't be profitable at that clip.
This season, the over has also been better, albeit only over a 20 game sample size. The over is 12-8 with a 16% ROI in 2024.
World Series Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 6: Chad Fairchild
| Over ROI (2024) | Under ROI (2024) | Over ROI (Career) | Under ROI (Career) |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.6% | -3.5% | -4.1% | -1% |
Chad Fairchild is an even 13-13-1 on the over and under this season.
Over his career, the data is similar too. There's barely a difference between his over/under splits, with his games favoring the under barely at 263-256-15.
World Series Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 7: Todd Tichenor
| Over ROI (2024) | Under ROI (2024) | Over ROI (Career) | Under ROI (Career) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1% | -6.7% | -4.9% | 0.5% |
Tichenor slightly favors the under over his career at a clip of 231-216-27, good for a small 0.5% ROI. Betting $100 on each of his games on the under would have returned a measly $215.
During this season, he's about even. In 24 games, he's 12-11-1 to the over. A $100 per game bettor would be up just $27 betting the over on every game where Tichenor is behind the plate.
