| Betting Overview | |
|---|---|
| Divisional Odds | +25000 |
| Pennant Odds | +20000 |
| World Series Odds | +50000 |
| Regular Season Wins | 58.5 |
| To Make Playoffs | Yes +3000 / No -20000 |
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Best Bet: Under 59.5 Wins
Anthony Dabbundo: The Nationals don’t have a single hitter projected to be above-average by The BAT X projections this season. The roster is almost completely barren of everyday MLB talent and it’s not like the Nationals are in a position to have top young prospects come up and make an immediate impact in 2023, either.
Most of the guys they got in the Juan Soto trade are still developing. CJ Abrams is a nice shortstop defensively, but his bat still needs work. The pitching situation isn’t all that much better. The Nationals had a solid bullpen in 2022, but that’s hard to rely on year to year.
The rotation features Patrick Corbin, who had one of the worst fastballs in baseball last year and lost 19 games himself. They lost top pitching prospect Cade Cavalli to Tommy John and will have low upside journeymen Chad Kuhl and Trevor Williams in the starting rotation alongside promising youngsters Josiah Gray and MacKenzie Gore.
PECOTA does have them at 61 wins, but I’m much closer to the FanGraphs projection for 55 wins in 2023. This is the league’s worst team, and not even a somewhat more friendly schedule with fewer games against the top of the NL East will save them from that.
The Nationals played at a 55-win pace after trading Josh Bell and Soto at the deadline.
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