The Miami Marlins (3-2) host the New York Mets (2-3) for the second game of a three-game series on Tuesday, April 1. First pitch from loanDepot Park is scheduled for 6:40 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on SNY, FanDuel Sports Florida and can be streamed on MLB.TV.
The Marlins were the surprise of the first week of the MLB season, snagging three wins over the Pirates. Meanwhile, the Mets, who stole the offseason by writing a hefty check to Juan Soto, began the year with a series loss in Houston. The Mets took the series opener over the Marlins by the score of 10-4. Taking the mound for the Mets on Tuesday is ace Kodai Senga. Opposing him is former NL Cy Young Award winner, Sandy Alcantara.
Find my Tuesday MLB betting preview and Mets vs Marlins prediction and pick below.
My Mets vs Marlins Prediction
- Mets vs Marlins Pick: Under 7.5 -105 (play to -115)
My Mets vs Marlins best bet is Under 7.5, with the best odds currently at Fanatics. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Marlins Odds, Spread, Prediction, Best Bet
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +108 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | -152 |
| Marlins Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -130 | 7.5 -115o / -105u | +128 |
- Mets vs Marlins Moneyline: Mets -152, Marlins +128
- Mets vs Marlins Total: 7.5 (-115o / -105u)
- Mets vs Marlins Spread: Mets -1.5 (+108), Marlins +1.5 (-130)
- Mets vs Marlins Best Bet: Under 7.5
Sean Paul’s Mets vs Marlins Preview
Miami Marlins Betting Preview: Trust Alcantara
Sandy Alcantara could be one of the best pitchers in baseball. He twirled 4 2/3 innings on Opening Day, striking out seven and walking four hitters.
It probably won’t be often that the Marlins are plus money at home with Alcantara on the mound, if he returns to his pre-injury form.
I would love to back the Marlins as I believe in Alcantara. However, this lineup, on paper, is one of the worst batting orders I've seen. Eric Wageman, who posted an .808 OPS in AAA last year, is the Marlins' cleanup hitter. He homered on Monday, but holding down this lineup shouldn't be too hard.
Miami has scored at least three runs in all five of its games, but hasn't scored more than five in any. Who's the best hitter in this lineup? Per the numbers, albeit over a small sample, it's catcher Nick Fortes, with a 222 wRC+. That seems unlikely to last as Fortes failed to crack the 60 wRC+ mark in either of the past two seasons.
In reality, the best Marlins' bats are probably shortstop Xavier Edwards and outfielder Dane Myers, but nobody on this roster fits the "proven" label. I don't see that working well versus one of the pitchers with the nastiest stuff in the league.
New York Mets Betting Preview: Senga Should Dominate
The Mets' offense finally broke through against Cal Quantrill. They scored five total runs in three games in Houston, but then cracked 10 runs in a road win over the Marlins.
In game two of this series, life should get tougher. It's also worth noting that the Mets scored the 10 runs without Francisco Lindor, who'll be back in the lineup today.
Perhaps a hot streak will begin for Pete Alonso, who tends to be streaky. He went yard in game one of the Marlins series and has the duty of protecting the $700 million man, Juan Soto.
I have a ton of trust in Senga, just as I do with Alcantara. Last year, Senga came back from an injury in Spring Training, but then suffered a separate non-arm injury in his first start back and missed the rest of the season.
The 30-year-old Senga returned to action this spring and tossed nine scoreless innings. Between his mid-90s fastball and devastating ghost fork, he should keep the Marlins' unimpressive lineup off-balance. Senga needs to be judicious with his pitches as he'll likely have some sort of pitch count. Thankfully, the Mets' bullpen is strong and should be able to contain the Marlins' offense.
Mets vs Marlins Prediction, Betting Analysis
Since the Marlins don't have a lot of power, they have to string hits together to sustain rallies. I can't see that happening versus Senga, who could be one of the NL's top pitchers.
If anybody else in the Marlins rotation was pitching, I'd believe the Mets offense was going to put together another big run total. However, Alcantara is a monster who should provide length, if he cuts down on his walks, which should come with more in-game action under his belt.
Pick: Under 7.5 (-105, play to -115)
Moneyline
I will not be betting on either moneyline in this matchup.
Run Line (Spread)
I'm also staying away from the run line in this contest.
Over/Under
My best bet for Mets vs Marlins in Under 7.5, with the best odds currently on Fanatics.
