Orioles vs. Tigers Odds
| Orioles Odds | +100 |
| Tigers Odds | -120 |
| Over/Under | 7.5 |
| Time | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
| Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
The Detroit Tigers have struggled lately, and they have the worst record in the American League. Nevertheless, the Tigers managed to pull off a win in the first game of the series with the Orioles on Friday night, defeating Baltimore by a 4-2 score.
Saturday afternoon could be more of the same for the Tigers, who enter today's game as favorites with Michael Pineda on the mound. Pineda has been solid, reporting a 3.43 ERA in four starts. Will he get the job done and clinch a Detroit series win for the first time this month?
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore's lineup features a few good matchups against Pineda.
Cedric Mullens and Anthony Santander each have ISOs above .200 against right-handed pitchers since the beginning of last year. During the same timespan, Pineda has allowed a .218 ISO to left-handed hitters.
However, beyond Mullens and Santander, the Orioles lineup is full of strikeouts. Six hitters in Baltimore's projected lineup report a strikeout percentage of 24% or higher against right-handed pitchers since the beginning of last year.
The Orioles will start rookie Rylen Bannon at third base, and he shouldn't give Pineda much trouble.
Detroit Tigers
Bruce Zimmermann has been much improved this year with a 3.70 xFIP, 24% strikeout percentage and 6% walk rate.
The Tigers offense ranks at the bottom of the league in runs scored this season, but they might have a better chance against left-handed pitching. Three Tigers hitters — Robbie Grossman, Javier Baez and Eric Haase — boast ISOs above .190 against left-handed pitching since the start of last year.
Orioles vs. Tigers Pick
Both of these teams struggle to score runs, but there are some good power matchups on both sides here. Furthermore, the weather is warming up and the sun will be out for most of this game, which starts in the afternoon.
My model projects over nine runs in this game so this is an easy over at 7.5.
Pick: Over 7.5 (-110)
