Phillies vs. Astros Game 6 Odds
| Phillies Odds | +126 |
| Astros Odds | -148 |
| Over/Under | 7 |
| Time | 8:03 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
| Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
A World Series champion can be crowned tonight. After falling down 2-1 in the series, the Astros stormed back and won Games 4 and 5 in Philadelphia. Houston can close out the series at home and will send Framber Valdez to the mound. Philadelphia will counter with Zack Wheeler and look to keep its season alive.
Given that tonight might be the last game of the season, you are probably interested in playing a same-game parlay. Here is what I have put together.
The Parlay (odds): +567
- Jose Altuve to Record a Hit (-230)
- Jeremy Pena to Record a Hit (-220)
- Alec Bohm to Record a Hit (-190)
- Framber Valdez Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+108)
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Same-Game Parlay – Phillies vs. Astros Game 6
Jose Altuve to Record a Hit
Jose Altuve had a cold start to the postseason. He is hitting just .185 and does not have a home run or run batted in. However, good hitters snap out of slumps and Altuve has come around in the World Series.
Altuve is 7-for-22 (.318) and he has a hit in four of the first five games in the series. Dating back to the ALCS, he has a hit in six of his last seven games. Wheeler started Game 2 for the Phillies and Altuve went 2-for-3 against Wheeler and 3-for-4 for the game.
Given that Wheeler will likely pitch long enough for Altuve to face him three more times, I like his chances to record at least one hit.
Jeremy Pena to Record a Hit
Jeremy Pena has batted right behind Altuve in the two-hole of this World Series. He just might be the World Series MVP if the Astros hold on and win this series. Pena is hitting .381 in the World Series and .333 for the postseason. He has a hit in 11 of the Astros' 12 games this postseason, including every game in this series.
Pena is coming off a couple of big performances in the last two games. He had two hits in Game 4 and three hits in Game 5, including a RBI single in the first and the go-ahead home run in the fourth inning to give Houston a lead it did not relinquish.
Pena went 1-for-3 against Wheeler in Game 2. I expect him to continue his hot streak and make it 12 out of 13 games with a hit this postseason.
Alec Bohm to Record a Hit
Bryce Harper may have gotten the Phillies to the World Series, but Alec Bohm has been the Phillies most consistent hitter this series. Bohm is hitting .278 in the World Series and he has a hit in four of the five games. Bohm is coming off a two-hit performance in Game 4.
Bohm did not get a hit off Framber Valdez in Game 2, but he did double in the ninth inning. Bohm hit .352 off left-handed pitching in the regular season, so while Valdez is tough, the numbers favor Bohm in this matchup.
If he does go hitless against Valdez again, he could always get a hit off the Astros' bullpen again.
Framber Valdez Over 6.5 Strikeouts
The last leg of this parlay is the only one that is plus money, but it is one that has a high hit rate. Valdez has been excellent this postseason, going 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 19 innings of work. He has gone over 6.5 strikeouts in two of his three postseason starts and has at least six in all three starts.
Dating back to the regular season, Valdez recorded seven strikeouts in seven of his last 10 starts. He only needed five innings to record 10 strikeouts against the Phillies in his last start of the regular season. He had nine strikeouts against the Phillies in 6 1/3 innings in Game 2.
Of the last 13 starts I referenced, Valdez has worked into the sixth inning in 12 of them. We don't need Valdez to impersonate Sandy Koufax to hit this line, but the deeper he goes in the game, the greater his chances of getting seven strikeouts.
