Phillies vs. Padres Game 2 Odds
| Phillies Odds | -104 |
| Padres Odds | -112 |
| Over/Under | 6.5 (-118 / -104) |
| Time | 4:35 p.m. ET |
| TV | FS1 |
| Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
Less than 24 hours after their tightly-contested series opener, the Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres will start a 1:35 p.m. local time game of NLCS baseball on Wednesday.
Game 1 was a pitcher's duel through and through, with just four hits for the entirety of the game for the two teams combined.
Of course, two of those hits left the yard and put the visiting Phillies in a great spot having already stolen a game on the road and now turning to the other half of their electric duo at the top of the rotation.
Wednesday brings Aaron Nola, who has yet to allow an earned run in 12.2 IP this postseason and sported a 2.74 xERA for the regular season, to the mound. He'll face Blake Snell, who looked great in his most recent outing against the Dodgers but was a bit shakier in his debut this postseason against the Mets.
Both pitchers will look to keep the offenses quiet, while the bats will obviously look to arise from the grand slumber they get Tuesday night. Let's see what we can build for a same game parlay.
MLB article plays: 7-5 (70.1 percent ROI on a tiny sample)
MLB Action Network App plays: 294-312-35 (5.0 percent ROI)
The Parlay (+427):
- Under 7.5 total runs (-172)
- Rhys Hoskins to record a hit (-165)
- Blake Snell under 6.5 strikeouts (-118)
Same-Game Parlay – Phillies vs. Padres Game 2
Under 7.5 Runs
This is a little bit of a milder SGP than the last one I gave out at +1400.
I went and bought myself a run, which I don't always love to do, but getting over seven felt important enough in what I think will be a very close game.
I'm also going to vent here about how limited the offerings are for these SGPs somehow. I couldn't find a single book that offered a Phillies first five moneyline to include in this parlay, which is really the leg I wanted to center my whole SGP around.
Regardless, I do think this will be a low-scoring game. The Phillies are strong against left-handed pitchers, but the Padres' bullpen is pretty well rested should Snell bump into any trouble early on.
And on the flip side, Nola has looked every bit the ace the Phillies dreamed of this postseason. The Padre offense owns an OPS of just .641, the lowest of any of the four teams remaining. They also are worse versus righties, struggle versus the pitches Nola has in his repertoire, and Petco Park — even though it isn't to the degree it once was — is still one of the more run-suppressing environments.
Throw in the fact that this is such an early start and the batters may have to deal with shadows during the mid-to-late innings, and I love the under.
Rhys Hoskins to Record a Hit
This play obviously goes against an under, but not the egregiously.
I added this to the SGP for a few reasons. For one, the value seemed insane. At Caesars (where I was playing around with a different potential SGP), Hoskins is -110 to score a run. At FanDuel, for 55 cents more, it's just to get a hit, so it was a must-add as a value play.
There's logic to it beyond value, though. Hoskins was far superior against left-handed pitching in 2022, and that has been the case for his entire career, with an OPS gap of over 100 points between when facing RHP and LHP.
He also excels against fastballs and sliders and can handle changeups, and that covers the majority of Snell's repertoire. If this game is close late, the Padres will also likely turn to Josh Hader, who is tough to hit but presents another fastball-slider lefty.
Blake Snell Under 6.5 Strikeouts
This was another number that popped at FanDuel.
Snell is averaging 5.5 strikeouts in his two postseason starts, and no other book has a line this high. Some books have the line at 5.5, while others have a heavily juiced 6.5 to the under.
I don't see Snell fully imploding, but this is indeed a very tough Phillies lineup against lefties, and the 2-6 stretch of the lineup, in particular, likely won't get to face Snell more than two or three times max.
We've seen pitchers on short hooks this postseason, and the unders on pitcher strikeouts are the best way to play that (now that Caesars took away their pitcher out props from their SGPs).
The Phillies were middle of the road in terms of strikeouts against lefties this season, and while Snell has nasty strikeout stuff, this is a play on him not lasting long enough in this game to reach that number.
