Philadelphia Phillies
| Betting Overview | |
|---|---|
| Divisional Odds | +400 |
| Pennant Odds | +750 |
| World Series Odds | +1500 |
| Regular Season Wins | 88.5 |
| To Make Playoffs | Yes -192 / No +154 |
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Best Bet: Under 89.5 Wins
Sean Zerillo: At 89.5 (+100), this was my favorite win total bet in the National League. At 88 (-110), I would probably only bet it for a half unit.
Technically, my projection likes the Phillies Under down to 87.5. Still, the projection market is much more closely aligned with their total — Davenport and PECOTA leaning Over 88.5.
Compared to their chief divisional rivals, the Phillies are worse on defense (25th in Defensive Runs Saved) and have far less organizational depth.
If everyone stays healthy — and Bryce Harper returns earlier than anticipated — they can surpass this number and threaten the division.
Average injury luck puts them Under, however. Their win total improved by three wins, but their composite projection declined by 1.3 wins.
The Phillies were my favorite longshot last season — their roster was always live if they found a way to make it to October. In terms of depth, they are not built as well to win in the regular season as they are laden with a star talent for the playoffs.
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