The Pittsburgh Pirates (9-15) and Los Angeles Angels (11-11) clash on Wednesday night at Angel Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on FanDuel Sports West and SportsNet-PIT.
Former Angels starter Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Pirates tonight; he will be opposed by young right-hander Jack Kochanowicz, who is central to my Pirates vs Angels prediction on Wednesday night.
Pirates vs Angels Prediction
- Pirates vs Angels pick: Jack Kochanowicz Under 3.5 Strikeouts
My Pirates vs Angels best bet on Wednesday is on Jack Kochanowicz to go under his strikeout prop total. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Pirates vs Angels Odds, Spread, Over/Under
| Pirates Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -182 | 9 -102o / -120u | +112 |
| Angels Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +150 | 9 -102o / -120u | -132 |
Pirates vs Angels Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Andrew Heaney (PIT) | Stat | RHP Jack Kochanowicz (LAA) |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.1 |
| 2.13 /3.19 | ERA /xERA | 6.20 / 4.94 |
| 2.75 / 3.49 | FIP / xFIP | 5.78 / 5.07 |
| 0.91 | WHIP | 1.48 |
| 16.3% | K-BB% | 3.4% |
| 43.9% | GB% | 46.5% |
| 99 | Stuff+ | 94 |
| 96 | Location+ | 97 |
Pirates vs Angels Preview, Prop Pick
Pirates, Angels Betting Preview: The Pitcher Prop to Bet
The best way to attack the Pirates vs. Angels is to fade Halos starter Jack Kochanowicz, particularly focusing on his strikeout prop.
Despite facing an underwhelming lineup, advanced metrics suggest Kochanowicz might struggle tonight.
The best bet is to take the under 3.5 strikeouts, with odds currently sitting at -105 on DraftKings.
Action PRO’s Projections model indicates a fair strikeout total of just 3.1 for Kochanowicz. Moreover, Statcast data reveals that the tall right-hander sits in the bottom 4th percentile for strikeout rate, which is a concerning indicator.
His expected batting average (xBA) is .294, placing him in the bottom 14th percentile. Additionally, Kochanowicz gives up a lot of hard-hit balls, further supporting the likelihood that he’ll struggle to accumulate strikeouts.
Pirates vs Angels Prediction, Betting Analysis
Kochanowicz started 11 games year — he only mustered more than three punchouts four times, and three of those games were versus either the White Sox or Athletics.
As a matter of fact, Kochanowicz's strikeout numbers across his career are pretty deflating — just 35 across 85 2/3 innings.
We’ll roll with the under 3.5.
Pick: Jack Kochanowicz Under 3.5 Strikeouts
