Road Warriors or "Road Rangers"? Whatever you want to call them, the Texas Rangers are now 10-0 on the road this postseason after an 11-7 thumping of the Diamondbacks. We also went 2-1 last night, coming up one bet short of a perfect night.
In Game 5, the Rangers have the chance to clinch their first World Series title in franchise history. At this point, they would obviously prefer doing so on the road. Corey Seager and Nathan Eovaldi will lead the way in making that happen.
Here are my Rangers vs Diamondbacks Game 5 Player Props.
Rangers vs Diamondbacks Game 5 Player Props
Corey Seager has been a great bet for total bases all season, but at this point he has to be an auto-bet. Last night, he went 2-for-5 and homered for the third time in the series. He is now the overwhelming favorite to win World Series MVP, his team just needs another win. If Seager does win World Series MVP again, he will be become just the fourth player in MLB history to win the award twice.
Now, Zac Gallen will be looking to make sure that does not happen and he is much better at home. However, Seager is 7-for-22 (318) with a double, a home run and three runs batted in against Gallen. Seager went 0-for-1 with two walks against Gallen in Game 1, but he homered in the ninth inning. If he does not get a hit against Gallen, he will have one and possibly two plate appearances against the Diamondbacks bullpen.
Seager has hit this line in three of the four games in this series and in six of his last eight games. At this point, it would be wise to back him to a hit a home run as well. You can take him to go deep at +420 on FanDuel, offering a bit of value as he is +330 on DraftKings.
Pick: Corey Seager Over 1.5 Total Bases
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Nathan Eovaldi has proven himself to be a clutch performer in the postseason, particularly in 2018 when he posted a 1.61 ERA in 22 1/3 innings to help the Red Sox win its most recent World Series title. However, he had a rocky September after he returned from the IL, so it was unclear if we would see the 2018 form this postseason. I bought low on Eovaldi in Game 2 of the AL Wildcard Series. His line was at 3.5 strikeouts in that game and he finished with eight, climbing his ladder in the process.
Tonight, his line is at 4.5 strikeouts and it still may be far too low. Eovaldi has hit this line 21-of-30 starts this season for a 70% hit rate. He has upped that percentage by 10 in the postseason, hitting this line in four of his five starts. Eovaldi has had at least seven strikeouts in all four of those starts and finished with four against Houston as well. Additionally, he had four quality starts, allowing three runs or less and working six innings in each of his first four starts.
Now, Eovaldi's string of consecutive quality starts ended in Game 1 when he allowed five runs on six hits in 4 2/3 innings. However, he still finished with eight strikeouts. This will be the Diamondbacks second look at him in this series and they are likely feeling confident about seeing him after roughing him up last Friday. With that in mind, I would not expect eight strikeouts again. However, it is reasonable to expect him to get five.
Eovaldi's outs recorded line is 15.5, which projects 5 1/3 innings. That means we are asking for one strikeout per inning here. Then, if you want to back Eovaldi to repeat Game 1 performance, you can take him to get seven strikeouts at +450 on PointsBet and at +900 for eight. He has had eight strikeouts in three of his postseason starts, which means we're looking at +900 for a 60% hit rate of late.
Pick: Nathan Eovaldi Over 4.5 Strikeouts
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