Game 4 of the World Series gets underway this evening as the Arizona Diamondbacks take on the Texas Rangers at Chase Field.
Let's dive into my top MLB PrizePicks plays for Rangers-Diamondbacks tonight.
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Here’s how I would approach a PrizePicks stack that focuses on Rangers vs. Diamondbacks Game 4.
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Gabriel Moreno Less Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI
Left-hander Andrew Heaney takes the mound for Texas in Game 4 and should be a good candidate to back.
Heaney has been in great form, a fact that is overshadowed due to one bad outing against Houston in the ALCS. Outside of that performance, the left-hander has allowed just one run on eight hits over his past 14.2 innings of work.
That brings us to Gabriel Moreno, who has failed to surpass this figure in seven of his past 10 games. Over that span, Moreno owns a .225 BA, .325 SLG and .620 OPS.
It won't help his cause that he's never faced Heaney prior to tonight's game, so it may take a few rotations through the batting order to attempt to figure him out.
Marcus Semien Fantasy Score More Than 7
Given that the Diamondbacks are going with a bullpen game, there are many more uncertain variables when looking at Rangers hitters in this matchup.
The one thing we know for certain is that Texas will face Joe Mantiply in the first inning, which means lead-off hitter Marcus Semien will get a crack at him. It's a small sample size, but Semien is 1-for-2 against the left-hander in his career.
Semien also enters this contest in good form, recording at least seven fantasy points in three of his past five games. It will certainly help his cause that a couple of strong hitters are directly behind him in the batting order, such as Corey Seager.
Corey Seager Fantasy Score More Than 7.5
Seager has been on fire, flying past this number in three of his past four games, averaging 16.5 fantasy points. Over that span, he boasts a .294 BA, .882 SLG and 1.282 OPS.
Four games is a small sample size, but he has been seeing the ball well all postseason. Through 15 games, he possesses a .298 BA, .649 SLG and 1.093 OPS.
This playoff success should not be shocking for two reasons. First of all, his game always seems to elevate in the postseason, dating back to his days with the Dodgers.
Secondly, his underlying metrics during the regular season were among the best in baseball as Seager ranked in the 92nd percentile or higher in xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, average exit velocity, Barrel% and Hard-Hit%.
He is guaranteed to face Mantiply in the first inning, a pitcher whom Seager is 2-for-4 against in his career.