Here's everything you need to know about updated Rangers vsDiamondbacks odds with expert pick and prediction for this World Series Game 4 showdown from two Action Network MLB writers.
The Rangers lead the series 2-1 with a pivotal game in Arizona that could swing the series. Let's preview the game and check out our staff's picks and predictions for World Series Game 4. Find our best MLB bets today below.
Diamondbacks vs. Rangers Odds
| Rangers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +146 | 9.5 -102o / -120u | -108 |
| Diamondbacks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -176 | 9.5 -102o / -120u | -108 |
Mitch Garver Over 0.5 Total Bases
By D.J. James
The Arizona Diamondbacks will have to dig deep in Game 4 against a potent TexasRangers lineup. Yes, everyone is discussing Adolis García and Corey Seager, but Mitch Garver is sitting in the shadows. He has been phenomenal at the dish against both types of pitchers. Overall, he has a strikeout rate below 20% and a walk rate over 10%, so he is also seeing the ball well. In his slash line of .268/.362/.566, fans can see the results. In addition, he has a 139 wRC+ and sub-.300 BABIP. He could be even better.
The D-Backs likely will go with anyone capable to throw, so Garver will not get a look at any pitcher more than once. However, the D-Backs only have three arms below a 4.00 xFIP. Ryan Thompson, Kevin Ginkel, and Luis Frías have been the better arms, but even Frías is walking more than 12% of batters. Even Paul Sewald has had his lumps.
Garver is greatly underappreciated by this line. He is one of the best hitters in the lineup for Texas and will have plenty of opportunities at the dish in what profiles as a highly offensive game.
With that being said, Garver should go over his total bases in this game. If you are feeling risky, a home runprop may also work, but take his total bases at 0.5 to -200.
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Andrew Heaney under 9.5 pitching outs (-135)
Pitcher props in the playoffs are all about doing a better job than the sportsbooks at projecting usage, game theory and strategy. Andrew Heaney has started twice in the 2023 postseason and also made an appearance in Game 2 of this series for an inning. That means he's pitching on two days' rest, so he's already not likely to go deep as part of a bullpen game.
The Diamondbacks will be expected to bat Ketel Marte first, Corbin Caroll second, followed by a handful of righties in the heart of their order. I don't expect Heaney to face those righties like Gabriel Moreno and Christian Walker more than once. That puts him on a hard cap of 11 hitters. Given this, his outs prop should be 8.5, not 9.5 juiced to the under.
Heaney was excellent in his first postseason outing in Baltimore and was still pulled at the first sign of trouble after facing just 14 hitters and recording 11 outs. In his second outing, Heaney couldn't make it out of the first inning in Game 4 against the Astros. Bruce Bochy might try to steal an extra inning if he's perfect through three, but it's far more likely that Heaney is done after 2-3 innings tonight.
I'd bet his under 9.5 outs prop up to -170.
