Rays vs Yankees Predictions Monday | MLB Odds & Pick Today (July 22)
Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images. Pictured: Zack Littell
Rays vs. Yankees Odds
| Rays Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -155 | 8.5 -112o / -108u | +140 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +130 | 8.5 -112o / -108u | -166 |
The latest Rays vs Yankees odds for Monday have the Yankees as -155 moneyline favorites with an over/under of 8.5 (-110o / -110u).
The starting pitching matchup for this series finale at Yankee Stadium features right-hander Zack Littell for Tampa and left-hander Carlos Rodon for New York.
Find my Rays vs Yankees prediction in my Monday MLB betting guide for this AL East matchup below.
Tampa Bay Rays
Littell has struggled this season, posting a 3-6 record with a 4.26 ERA and 1.37 WHIP through 19 starts. His underlying metrics are equally poor as the right-hander owns a 4.24 xERA and ranks in the 35th percentile or lower in xBA, average exit velocity and barrel rate.
These woes are likely to continue against New York, a team Littell possesses a 4.63 ERA against through two career meetings. There were nine or more total runs scored in each of those two outings.
Following Littell is a bullpen that ranks 23rd in ERA, 27th in FIP and and 26th in xFIP. While Tampa's lineup isn't the most dangerous in the league, it boasts a strong track record against Rodon.
This current lineup sports a .222 BA, .533 SLG and .370 wOBA through 53 combined career plate appearances against the southpaw.
New York Yankees
Speaking of Rodon, he has also struggled this year. Through 20 starts, he owns a 4.63 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.
He's equally poor analytically as he possesses a 4.48 xERA and ranks in the 18th percentile or lower in average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate. Entering this matchup in particularly poor form, Rodon has allowed four or more runs in four of his past six starts.
The left-hander is 0-5 over that stretch with a 9.67 ERA. There were nine or more total runs scored in four of those six outings.
These struggles are likely to continue against Tampa, a team Rodon is 0-3 against through seven career meetings. He sports a fade-worthy 5.34 ERA over that span.
Meanwhile, New York's bullpen is primed for regression as it ranks sixth in ERA but 17th in xFIP. The good news for this pitching staff is that the Yankees possess one of the best lineups in the league.
They rank in the top five in runs scored per game, OBP, SLG, OPS and home runs.
Rays vs. Yankees
Betting Pick & Prediction
Nine total runs aren't generally easy to come by, but this matchup presents a situation where fireworks should be expected. Both starting pitchers have struggled and rank in the bottom half of the league in xERA, average exit velocity, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.
Meanwhile, both bullpens rank in the bottom half of the league in xFIP.
New York's lineup will surely take advantage. Even though Tampa's offense carries far less power, it has a tremendous track record against Rodon.
Finally, the weather should give us a slight boost as the forecast calls for winds blowing out to left-center.
Pick: Over 8.5 (-110 at DraftKings | Play to -115)
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