Red Sox vs Dodgers Odds, Pick | Saturday MLB Betting Guide
| Boston Red Sox Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
+115 | 9 -115o / -105u | +1.5 -178 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Over/Under | Run Line |
-135 | 9 -115o / -105u | -1.5 +150 |
The latest Red Sox vs Dodgersodds for Saturday have the Dodgers as -135 moneyline favorites with an over/under of 9 (-115o / -105u).
The starting pitching matchup for this matchup at Dodger Stadium features right-hander Brayan Bello for Boston and left-hander Justin Wrobleski for Los Angeles.
Find my Red Sox vs Dodgers prediction in my Saturday MLB betting guide for this interleague series below.
Boston Red Sox
Bello has struggled mightily this season, posting a 5.32 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP through 17 starts. His underlying metrics are equally poor as he ranks in the 26th percentile or lower in xERA, xBA and hard-hit rate.
Following Bello is a bullpen that isn't bad, but it's not great either. Boston's relief staff owns a 3.67 ERA this season.
The good news for this pitching staff is that run support should come in this game. The Red Sox rank in the top 11 of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS, home runs and stolen bases.
Los Angeles Dodgers
That success at the dish is likely to continue against Wrobleski, a pitcher who looks unprepared for the big leagues. His first two career starts certainly could have gone better. In fact, the southpaw is 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP.
Even more concerning, his underlying metrics are, literally, the worst in baseball. Granted, he doesn't officially qualify for percentile rankings, but the 24-year-old possesses a 7.36 xERA, a .271 xBA and a 20% barrel rate.
It's a small sample size, but if I'm a Dodgers fan, I'm not holding my breath for a quick turnaround any time soon.
Following Wrobleski is a bullpen due for regression. Despite ranking fourth in ERA, Los Angeles' relief staff ranks 23rd in both FIP and xFIP.
Like Boston, this pitching staff should have peace of mind knowing that run support is likely to come. The Dodgers rank in the top six of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS and home runs.
Red Sox vs. Dodgers
Betting Pick & Prediction
Nine is a relatively high total, but this matchup presents a situation where fireworks should be expected. Both starting pitchers have struggled and (if Wrobleski qualified) rank in the bottom half of the league in xERA, xBA, strikeout rate, walk rate, barrel rate and hard-hit rate.
Meanwhile, these are two of the best lineups in baseball. Both teams rank in the top 11 of the league in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS and home runs.
Finally, the weather should give us a slight boost as the forecast calls for winds blowing out to right-center.
Pick: Over 9 (-115 at BetMGM | Play to -120)
