Rockies vs. Giants Odds
| Rockies Odds | +200 |
| Giants Odds | -250 |
| Over/Under | 6.5 (-120 / +100) |
| Time | 9:40 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
| Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
The Giants will look to keep some newfound momentum going at home against a Rockies team that has held its own this season.
With a lopsided pitching matchup that includes Carlos Rodon and Austin Gomber, is this an easy one to call? Let's take a look at the matchup.
Rockies Starting to Impress
The Rockies have done well to confirm their solid start to the season with six wins in their last nine contests.
While they were fortunate to face the Reds, Nationals and Diamondbacks over this span, Colorado still had some huge nights at the plate and some special pitching performances along the way.
Over the last two weeks, despite scattering some big offensive performances, the Rockies still stand 19th in the league with a 94 wRC+. And while there have been some moments of brilliance from their arms, the bullpen has posted a 5.89 ERA in the last two weeks, which is second-worst in the league. There have been wins, but the numbers are simply not great at the moment.
Austin Gomber will be the man to take the ball here for Colorado, and after a brief moment of brilliance in 2021, he's sunk back into mediocrity. A 3.58 ERA this season has been made to look worse by a .442 xwOBA on contact, which has resulted in a 4.37 xERA.
He's relied heavily on his fastball once again this season, but it has been ripped to the tune of a .296 expected batting average. The whiff rate on his slider has also fallen off from 35% a year ago to 27.3% this season.
Rodon Should Roll for Giants
The Giants finally snapped out of a five-game losing streak over the weekend with a 13-7 win over the Cardinals. They backed that up with a second straight victory in a low-scoring one-run win on Sunday.
Now, this talented San Francisco team is finally beginning to pick up the pieces and will be well-positioned to build up some momentum with nine games coming up against the Rockies and Cardinals.
The last two weeks have gone a bit differently for the Giants. Their 105 wRC+ is very becoming of a team that had to deal with a five-game slide, and they managed to continue posting solid numbers at the plate with a low 19.5% strikeout rate and beefy 11.2% walk rate. This contact-heavy approach the Giants have taken in the last two weeks is one that many teams have been profiting from in the early part of the season.
Carlos Rodon will pitch this game, and he's been one of the very best in the game to this point. His xwOBA, xERA, xBA and xSLG are all in the top 10% of the league, and his 36.9% strikeout rate ranks inside the top 5%.
He's missing an incredible number of bats on his slider, which has a 50.7% whiff rate, and dominating opposing offenses with just a three-pitch mix. His fastball — which he's added one MPH on — has set up the rest of his arsenal for great success.
Rockies-Giants Pick
It's hard to say enough good things about Rodon at the moment, and it seems impossible that he'd falter on Monday night against a Rockies team that has been very quiet at the plate. With that, I have to turn to the Giants.
I will rarely take a run line — particularly on a home team — but that's the only way to play this game in my eyes.
The Giants offense has been arguably better over the last two weeks than it was in the weeks prior to that, which is pretty crazy given the losing streak San Francisco needed to endure.
San Francisco hasn't been the best against lefties this year, but Gomber has been particularly bad. I love the Giants in this spot.
Pick: Giants -1.5 (-110)
