Friday MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Smart Money Headed for Royals vs. Tigers (Sept. 2)

Friday MLB Odds, Picks, Predictions: Smart Money Headed for Royals vs. Tigers (Sept. 2) article feature image
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Photo by Adam Hunger/Getty Images. Pictured: Vinnie Pasquantino (Royals)

Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers Odds

Royals Odds-108
Tigers Odds-108
Over/Under8.5 (-102 / -120)
DateFriday, September 2
Time7:10 p.m. ET
ChannelMLB.tv

*Odds via FanDuel as of Friday morning

The Action Network's proprietary tracking data has indicated a trove of sharp bettors on the Royals' moneyline for tonight's contest against the Tigers.

What better way to celebrate Kansas' online sportsbook soft launch?

While the rest of the country won't exactly be keen on a September MLB game between two non-contenders, that's good news for you, the reader.

Heavy sharp action on games of low magnitude can allow you to extract value out of retail bettors and the rest of the broader market.

Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers Sharp Pick

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The sharps are riding with the Royals at a market-best price of -103 at SuperBook. For a book that's live in Kansas, roll with FanDuel's price at -108.

While about 42% of the retail bettors are betting the Royals for this line, about 50% of the money is on the same line.

That 8% discrepancy indicates a handful of big moneyed bettors are rocking with the Royals tonight.

Tailing the wise guys and fading retail bettors is how you develop a profit in the long run.

In the short term, of course, variance is a massive constraint. You'll lose a few bets along the way.

The best method to ensure a positive ROI is to bet — with the same unit sizing — each time there's sharp action on  a particular pick.

Pick: Royals -108 or better

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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