MLB Picks & Predictions for Royals vs. Astros: Thursday’s Top Betting Model Edge (July 7)

PJ Walsh

Updated:

Jul 07, 2022, 01:05 PM EDT

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MLB Picks & Predictions for Royals vs. Astros: Thursday’s Top Betting Model Edge (July 7) article feature image

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Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images. Pictured: Justin Verlander #35 of the Houston Astros

Thursday's MLB slate gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET with the Kansas City Royals taking on the Houston Astros.
According to live MLB odds, the Astros are huge favorites over the Royals on Thursday afternoon, with the over/under set at 7.5.
Using our MLB betting model picks and predictions, we detail the big edge for Royals vs. Astros.

Royals vs. Astros Odds

Royals Odds	+300
Astros Odds	-365
Over/Under	8 (-115/-105)
Date	Thursday, July 7
Time	2:10 p.m. ET
Channel	MLB Network

*Odds as of Thursday morning

Thursday afternoon's Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros matchup isn't expected to be all that competitive.

Houston, with its 53-28 record, is a massive -360 favorite over Kansas City (30-50 on the season), according to live MLB odds.

But what does that mean from a betting value perspective?

Is laying the big number with Houston the smartest way to bet Royals vs. Astros? Or can Kansas City win this game often enough to suggest the value is actually with the underdog?

Meanwhile, should bettors pass on the moneyline altogether in favor of the over/under?

Thanks to Action Network's MLB PRO Projections, we can quickly answer these questions.