The San Francisco Giants (9-3) and New York Yankees (7-5) meet on Friday night at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on YES and NBC Sports Bay Area.
Find my Giants vs Yankees prediction for Friday night below, in addition to my same-game parlay picks, probable starting pitchers (Robbie Ray and Marcus Stroman), starting lineups, weather forecast and more.
Giants vs Yankees Parlay, Predictions
- Giants Moneyline
- Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Hits
- Marcus Stroman Over 1.5 Walks
- Parlay Odds: +292
Giants vs Yankees Odds, Lines, Best Bet
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -190 | 8 -110o / -110u | +115 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +158 | 8 -110o / -110u | -135 |
- Giants vs Yankees Moneyline: Giants +115, Yankees -135
- Giants vs Yankees Spread: Giants +1.5 (-190), Yankees -1.5 (+158)
- Giants vs Yankees Total: 8 (-110/-110)
- Giants vs Yankees Prediction: San Francisco Moneyline
Giants vs Yankees Probable Starting Pitchers
San Francisco Giants vs New York Yankees Preview, Prediction
Giants Preview; Starting Lineup; Robbie Ray
Giants Starting Lineup
- Mike Yastrzemski RF
- Willy Adames SS
- Jung Hoo Lee CF
- Matt Chapman 3B
- Heliot Ramos LF
- LaMonte Wade Jr. 1B
- Wilmer Flores DH
- Patrick Bailey C
- Tyler Fitzgerald 2B
After winning the AL Cy Young Award in 2021, Robbie Ray signed a big contract the following offseason with the Seattle Mariners.
He underwent Tommy John surgery after one start in 2023 and was traded to San Francisco before last season. After recovering from surgery, Ray made just seven starts for the Giants last year, posting a 4.70 ERA in mixed results.
We have seen a slightly different version of Ray, post-surgery — prior to the injury, Ray’s fastball was averaged 95 mph, and he was racking up strikeouts at an elite rate. He had an 11.54 K/9 rate during his Cy Young season.
However, in two starts this year, his fastball has hovered around 93 mph and he has just six strikeouts in two starts. His 4.76 K/9 is one of the lowest in the league. Now, it could just be a small sample size — his slider is still generating a 55.6% whiff rate.
San Francisco had a middle-of-the-road offense last season. The Giants have lacked superstar talent and play half their games in a pitcher-friendly ballpark, but then they landed Willy Adames over the offseason to bolster the offense.
The Giants are one of those teams that might not have a certified star, but they have a lineup full of quality hitters. Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos are both All-Star quality hitters, and former KBO star Jung Hoo Lee is finally healthy and off to a great start.
Yankees Preview; Starting Lineup; Marcus Stroman
Yankees Starting Lineup
- Paul Goldschmidt 1B
- Ben Rice DH
- Aaron Judge RF
- Cody Bellinger LF
- Anthony Volpe SS
- Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2B
- Austin Wells C
- Oswald Peraza 3B
- Trent Grisham CF
Marcus Stroman would have found himself on the outside looking in the Yankees rotation if it were not for preseason injuries.
He said he would not pitch out of the bullpen, but he has really struggled as a starter. In two games this season, Stroman has a 7.27 ERA, allowing seven runs in 8 2/3 innings.
When Stroman was pitching at an All-Star level, he was generating a 57% ground-ball rate and working his sinker and slurve combo to keep the ball on the ground. He has never been much of a strikeout guy, but now his ground-ball rate is just 46.4% which is a new career worst. He pitches to contact, and he is being hit harder than ever.
New York’s offense has cooled off a tad but still leads the league, averaging 6.8 runs per game. The Yankees have an .855 team OPS and have clubbed 26 home runs. They were held to four runs or fewer in each of their last four games, but return home where the bats were on fire to start the year.
Everything that New York needed to happen this season to try and replace Juan Soto has happened so far for the Yankees. Young guys have taken a step forward in Anthony Volpe and Ben Rice, and veterans have appeared to bounce back in Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Paul Goldschmidt.
Goldschmidt is third in the league in hits. Oh, and Aaron Judge is playing out of his mind.
Giants vs Yankees Moneyline Prediction & Analysis
While the Yankees offense has gotten a lot of attention, I think the Giants are underrated and being slept on. This team doesn’t have the upside of New York, but they have solid big-league hitters throughout the lineup.
Mike Yastrzemski and Jung Hoo Lee each have an OPS over .900, Wilmer Flores already has five home runs and 14 RBI on the year, and Chapman and Ramos are two of the more underrated hitters in the league.
Adames has gotten off to a slow start with his new team, but he has crushed Stroman in his career. Adames is 9-for-19 with a double and two home runs against Stroman, good for a .582 wOBA.
Even with New York having the edge on offense, San Francisco has a big edge on the mound.
Ray projects as a 3.78 – 3.95 ERA type of pitcher as he is a year removed from Tommy John surgery. Ray’s strikeout rate has been significantly down, but his slider has generated a 55.6% whiff rate, which is higher than his Cy Young season.
He is still missing bats even though that isn't reflected with his strikeout count. The other reason for a lower strikeout rate has been the addition of a new changeup.
Ray learned the grip from Tarik Skubal and has thrown it 12% of the time this season. It sits at just 84.8 mph and looks like it barely reaches the plate. This Yankees team is just league average at hitting changeups. Ray looked excellent this spring and allowed just one run through six innings in his last outing.
If it were up to the Yankees, Stroman would not be part of this rotation. He was terrible in the second half of last season and was left off their postseason roster. His ERA projections are all between 4.50-4.80. He has always been a guy who pitches to contact, but now he is getting hit hard and in the air.
San Francisco's bullpen has looked terrific so far this year. The Giants have a 1.79 ERA when their starter leaves the game, with Hayden Birdsong, Randy Rodriguez, Tyler Rogers, and closer Ryan Walker all looking strong.
I’ll side with the pitching and take San Francisco as a slight underdog on Friday.
Pick: Giants Moneyline +110 (DraftKings)
Moneyline
My favorite bet is on the San Francisco moneyline at +110 and I would play them down to -105.
Run Line (Spread)
While I like the Giants moneyline, I'm not betting on their run line.
Pick: Pass.
Over/Under
Like the spread, I'm have no play on the game total.
Pick: Pass.
