The series finale between the San Francisco Giants (10-4) and New York Yankees (8-6) is set for Sunday afternoon at Yankee Stadium. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on YES and NBC Sports Bay Area.
The Yankees bounced back from a rain-shortened 9-1 loss on Friday with an offensive outburst Saturday, winning 8-4. They'll look to take the series at home against the Giants, one of MLB's hottest teams.
Find my Giants vs Yankees prediction below, as well as betting lines, probable pitchers, the latest odds, betting trends, and more.
Giants vs Yankees Prediction
- Giants vs Yankees pick: Yankees Moneyline (-115; play to -140)
My Giants vs Yankees best bet is on the Yankees to win outright. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Giants vs Yankees Odds
| Giants Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -210 | 7.5 -120o / +100u | +100 |
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +170 | 7.5 -120o / +100u | -120 |
Giants vs Yankees Projected Starting Pitchers
| RHP Logan Webb (SF) | Stat | LHP Carlos Rodon (NYY) |
|---|---|---|
| 1.0 | W-L | 1-2 |
| 0.7 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.1 |
| 1.89/2.53 | ERA /xERA | 5.19/3.75 |
| 1.93/1.85 | FIP / xFIP | 4.48/3.48 |
| 0.95 | WHIP | 1.15 |
| 7.0 | K-BB% | 2.2 |
| 54.5 | GB% | 57.5 |
| 106 | Stuff+ | 106 |
| 103 | Location+ | 100 |
Sean Paul's Giants vs Yankees Preview
Yankees Betting Preview: Best Offense in MLB
With Gerrit Cole done for the year, the pressure on Carlos Rodon to live up to his six-year, $160 million deal is immense. So far, Rodon has done the same thing he’s done throughout his Yankees tenure — looked terrific for a start or two and then lost the game for the Yankees single-handedly in others.
I’m a believer in Rodon turning things around, as his xERA is 3.75 compared to his 5.19 ERA – same deal for his FIP sitting at 4.48 and his xFIP sitting a whole run lower at 3.48.
One thing to note is Rodon’s velocity. He touched the high 90s in his first outing in pretty sunny weather. In the past two outings with frigid temperatures, Rodon sat around 92-94 on his four-seamer, which limits his margin for error.
The key for Rodon? Limiting the walks. His control has been erratic this year, issuing over 5.4 BB/9. Conversely, the Giants walk at just a 6.4% clip versus southpaw pitchers, so Rodon's ability to get hitters to chase should work in his favor.
The Yankees offense erupted Saturday, scoring eight runs, seven of which came versus Jordan Hicks.
Although the Bronx Bombers don't have Juan Soto, they still are the best offense in MLB by a considerable margin. The Yankees boast a 140 wRC+ and the closest threat is the Tigers at 126.
Good thing that Webb wants to induce soft contact rather than hunt for strikeouts because the Yankees punch out 25.5% of the time. Two of the best parts of the Yankees offense are a stout 9.8% walk rate and the second-highest home run total in MLB (27).
Aaron Judge is special. Everybody knows that, but the two keys to the Yankees offense cracking Webb are leadoff hitter Ben Rice and Judge's protection, Cody Bellinger. Rice is a baseball-savant darling with one of the best hard-hit profiles in the sport and Bellinger will get hittable pitches behind Judge.
Giants Betting Preview: Fade Webb
We now have a two-year sample that says Logan Webb is a pretty average pitcher away from Oracle park. He posted an ERA over a run and a half higher away from San Francisco. Webb only pitched once in the Bronx, allowing four runs in six innings last season.
The same applied to Webb in his lone road outing this year, allowing three runs in five innings in Cincinnati with one run over 14 innings in his other two outings. In Webb's last outing, he went seven scoreless innings with 10 K's, but the Reds won 2-0.
Webb has been nothing short of spectacular so far, though. He enters Sunday's game with a 1.89 ERA and a 1.95 FIP.
San Francisco's offense isn't nearly as good against southpaws, dropping from a 110 wRC+ against right-handers to 83 versus lefties. When the Giants play a righty, Mike Yastrzemski is the leadoff hitter and he's a strict platoon bat. The most patient hitter in the Giants lineup is Lamonte Wade Jr., who also doesn't play against lefties.
The lineup is just night and day when a lefty takes the bump. The two highly paid righty boppers, Willy Adames and Matt Chapman, haven't hit like highly paid players yet. They'll need to in the Bronx. Adames is in the midst of a 5-for-26 slide, hitting below .200 in his Giants career. Meanwhile, Chapman is the most streaky hitter in baseball. That's just who he is, as for a month he'll be one of the best in the sport and in others, he'll bat below .200. He's hitting just .083 over his past seven contests.
Giants vs Yankees Prediction, Betting Analysis
Rodon is due for a good performance after some tough luck marred his last two outings. He'll take advantage of the Giants' woes against left-handers.
Betting against Webb is tough, given he has an ERA below 2.00 and look dominant through three starts. But the Yankees bats should make him work and he tends to struggle with walking batters at times. Playing in chilly conditions could really affect his control, especially since he's not accustomed to pitching in 40-degree temperatures.
Lastly, I just see value in the Yankees as -115 home favorites with a much better offense. The pitching matchup isn't big enough of a dropoff to scare me away from the home team.
Pick: Yankees ML (-115; play to -140)
Moneyline
I like New York on the moneyline on Sunday.
Run Line (Spread)
While I am betting the Yankees on the moneyline, I have no play on the run line.
Over/Under
I also do not see any value on the total.
