White Sox vs. Angels Odds
| White Sox | +145 |
| Angels | -175 |
| Total | 8 (-120 / +100) |
| Date | Tuesday, June 27 |
| Time | 9:38 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB Network |
*Odds via BetMGM as of Tuesday afternoon.
The Los Angeles Angels begin a three-game series with the Chicago White Sox in Anaheim on Tuesday night.
Shohei Ohtani is back on the bump for the Angels after a six-day layoff. The extended layoff was likely due to the Angels visiting Colorado and not wanting to over-exert the superstar at altitude.
Batters are hitting .179 off Ohtani this season.
Our algorithm has identified an edge on an Ohtani player prop at BetMGM for Tuesday, expecting Ohtani to struggle a little bit against the White Sox.
Our models consider quantitative and qualitative factors for every angle of this game — including rest, matchups, stylistic differences, lingering injuries, history and more — to come up with a fair-value line for every MLB player prop on the market.
Shohei Ohtani Player Prop Prediction, Projection
Ohtani has had quite a bit of success striking batters out this season and is fourth in MLB in total strikeouts.
Combine that with the fact that he's one of the most popular names in baseball and it's easy to see why sportsbooks expect significant action on his overs.
However, the model indicates Ohtani's strikeout total is too high. BetMGM has set his strikeout total Tuesday at 7.5, with -145 to the over and +115 to the under. That is the best price on the under in the market.
Ohtani has had less than 7.5 strikeouts in three of his past four games, though he did have 12 strikeouts in his most recent outing against the Dodgers. It's also important to note that Ohtani has had eight or fewer strikeouts every time he's followed up a start with double-digit strikeouts.
The model predicts Ohtani's strikeouts at seven, good enough for above a 12% betting edge on the under.
Do keep in mind that these algorithms work best when you wager with the same unit size for each individual bet.
Pick: Shohei Ohtani Under 7.5 strikeouts (+115)
