Detroit Tigers vs Philadelphia Phillies Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Runline | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -115 | 9 -115o / -105u | +140 |
| Tigers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Runline | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -105 | 9 -115o / -105u | -166 |
Let's dive into the MLB odds and get into Tigers vs Phillies predictions in our Wednesday MLB betting preview for June 26.
Tigers vs Phillies odds for Wednesday have the Phillies as -175 moneyline favorites with an over/under of 9 (-115o / -105u) for the series finale at Comerica Park. For my Tigers vs Phillies prediction, I'll be looking at a different market — I see value on Philadelphia's run line (-1.5).
Right-hander Spencer Turnbull takes the mound for Philadelphia, while Detroit is going to go with a bullpen day.
See how I think Tigers vs Phillies will play out in my MLB betting preview below.
Detroit Tigers
It can be sometimes difficult to navigate handicapping a bullpen game, because Detroit can turn to a variety of different guys at the drop of a hat. With that said, this relief staff is untrustworthy as a whole.
The Tigers' bullpen ranks in the bottom half of the league in both ERA and xFIP.
This pitching staff is unlikely to receive much run support, given Detroit's struggles at the dish this season. It ranks 20th or lower in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS, home runs and stolen bases.
This lineup has now scored one or fewer runs in six of their past eight games, losing all six of those outings. These woes are likely to continue against Turnbull.
Philadelphia Phillies
Turnbull has bounced between the rotation and bullpen all season, finding success regardless of the roll. He returns to the rotation against his former team on Wednesday, a matchup in which the right-hander should have success.
He is 3-0 through 16 appearances on the mound this year with a commanding 2.63 ERA and 1.05 WHIP. His underlying metrics are just as strong.
Turnbull ranks in the top half of the league in xERA, xBA, average exit velocity and barrel rate. Even if Turnbull is kept on a relatively low pitch count, he is followed by one of the best bullpens in baseball.
Philadelphia's relief staff ranks in the top five in ERA, FIP and xFIP.
This pitching staff should receive an abundance of run support from one of the league's best lineups. The Phillies rank in the top four in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS, home runs and stolen bases.
Tigers vs. Phillies
Betting Pick & Prediction
Even with the uncertainty of the Tigers going with a bullpen day, there is just really no reason to like Detroit in this spot. Turnbull is a solid pitcher both statistically and analytically, plus he will have the added fire of going against his former club.
Following Turnbull is a bullpen that outranks the Tigers' in ERA, FIP and xFIP. That just leaves us with the lineups, which is yet another clear advantage for Philadelphia.
The Phillies pace Detroit in runs scored per game, hits per game, BA, OBP, SLG, OPS, home runs and stolen bases. Therefore, I think there is more value in Philadelphia's run line at -110 rather than laying -175 on its moneyline.
17 of the Phillies' past 19 wins have come by at least a two-run margin.
