Tigers vs. Yankees Odds
| Tigers Odds | +280 |
| Yankees Odds | -350 |
| Over/Under | 7.5 |
| Time | 7:05 p.m. ET |
| TV | Apple TV+ |
| Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
The Yankees enter play Friday on a three-game winning streak after sweeping the Angels in the Bronx.
New York sits atop the American League East at 36-15 and boasts the best run differential in the AL.
The Tigers have also won three in a row after taking four out of five games from the Twins in their most recent series. However, the Tigers struggled mightily in April, and even with winning seven of their last 10 games, sit at 21-30 — eight games out of first place in the American League Central.
Who will get the job done in a nationally televised game on Apple TV+ tonight?
Can Tigers Hit Gerrit Cole Again?
The Tigers are dead last in all of baseball in runs scored. Offense has been their main problem this year besides injuries to the starting rotation. Detroit has scored 28 fewer runs than the next closest team, the Pirates.
This lineup doesn't seem to match up well with Gerrit Cole on paper, as Harold Castro is the only hitter in the Tigers' projected lineup with an ISO above .200 against right-handed pitching this year. In addition, seven hitters in the lineup have a K% above 20% against right-handed pitching this season.
However, Cole has faced the Tigers once already in 2022 and failed to make it out of the second inning. Cole's final line was 1.2 innings, one hit allowed, two earned runs, five walks and three strikeouts.
It's unlikely that Cole, who has walked a total of five batters in his last five starts, has such poor command once again tonight.
Yankees Offense Continues to Surge
Elvin Rodriguez will be making the third Major League start of his career here. His first start in Minnesota went OK, as he completed five innings but allowed four runs — most of them coming on a home run from Max Kepler.
In his second start, he threw four scoreless innings while allowing just two hits against the Guardians at home before leaving the game with leg cramps.
The Yankees offense ranks eighth in MLB in runs scored, and facing them on the road isn't a good matchup for Rodriguez in his third big league start.
While slugger Giancarlo Stanton is currently on the injured list, the Yankees offense has gotten a boost from recent addition Matt Carpenter, who has three home runs in the last week.
Second baseman Gleyber Torres is also going through a power surge, as he hit his 10th home run of the season Thursday after hitting just nine home runs all of last year.
Tigers-Yankees Pick
I like the over here. There's not much to be gained taking the heavily favored Yankees on the moneyline, and there's no reason to consider the Tigers live underdogs on the road.
While Cole should do fine against the Tigers, he's already faced them once this year and was far from dominant. The Yankees offense should have the clear upper hand against Rodriguez.
The model I use is projecting this game for 8.5 runs, and I found the over at 7.5 (-110) at DraftKings.
Pick: Over 7.5 (-110)
