Yankees vs. Astros Odds
| Yankees Odds | +165 |
| Astros Odds | -195 |
| Over/Under | 7 |
| Time | 7:37 p.m. ET |
| TV | TBS |
| Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
The New York Yankees squeaked by the Cleveland Guardians in the American League Division Series as they dispatched the Guardians in a pivotal Game 5 Tuesday.
It'll be a quick turnaround for the Bronx Bombers as they shift to Houston for Game 1 of the American League Championship Series Wednesday night. New York will be taking its third shot at Houston after losing to the Astros in the ALCS in both 2019 and 2017, though the Astros were using advanced technology to steal signs during the 2017 postseason, which remains a point of contention in New York.
There's no love lost between these two teams and they'll settle their differences on the field in a seven-game series.
The Parlay (+3000):
- Yankees Over 3.5 Total Runs
- Over 7.5 Total Runs
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa to Hit a Home Run
Same-Game Parlay – Yankees vs. Astros Game 1
Yankees Over 3.5 Total Runs
I will admit I'm building a bit of a long shot parlay here for Game 1. If you want to just bet the Astros Moneyline like everyone else, I completely understand.
However, I'll be fading Justin Verlander for the most part here. The Yankees had a quick turnaround from their game Tuesday and haven't hit Verlander well in the past in the playoffs.
However, Verlander might not be the same guy we've seen in recent playoffs. He was hit hard in allowing 10 hits and six earned runs in four innings against the Mariners in round one.
While Verlander had a 1.75 ERA this year, his xFIP was significantly higher at 3.84. The Yankees also have a heavily right-handed lineup this year and Verlander's K% goes from 30% against left-handed hitters to 24% against right-handed hitters.
I think they'll get to Verlander at least a little and ultimately push across at least four runs.
Over 7.5 Total Runs
This is simple: I'm correlating the bets in this parlay. If the Yankees are able to score four runs or more then the over of 7.5 seems quite likely to hit as well.
Jameson Taillon will start for the Yankees and he had a 3.91 ERA and 4.42 xFIP this year. Only Gerrit Cole allowed more home runs in the second half of the season than Taillon. He also had a 4.36 ERA on the road this year.
The Astros will do their part on offense and get over this total.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa to Hit a Home Run
This is where the parlay goes off the rails. Kiner-Falefa hasn't even been in the Yankees lineup over the last two games, but that could change as Aaron Hicks suffered a significant knee injury that will keep him out for the rest of the playoffs.
Without Hicks in the outfield, the Yankees could use Matt Carpenter there, but I believe it's more likely Oswaldo Cabrera would move to left field and Kiner-Falefa would be back at shortstop.
Kiner-Falefa is obviously not known for his power, but he was hitting a little while he played in round one (3-for-11, .273 AVG) and has hit one home run off Verlander before in his major league career. Keep an eye on starting lineup announcements, of course, to make sure he's in there.
