It's always a sight to see when two of the well-known MLB franchises face one another. In this Saturday evening showcase, the New York Yankees will try to secure a series win over the San Francisco Giants after taking a 6-2 win in Friday's opener.
Here's my Yankees vs Giants Same Game Parlay for Saturday.
Remember to bet responsibly — this is a long shot for a reason.
Yankees vs Giants Same Game Parlay
- Giants ML -130
- Logan Webb Over 4.5 Ks
- Jorge Soler Under 0.5 Hits
- Parlay Odds: +750 (DraftKings)
Giants ML -130
For such a great pitcher, it's been an up-and-down season for Giants starter Logan Webb.
Webb owns a 2.74 ERA in 72 1/3 innings, along with 64 punch-outs. The relatively low strikeout total shouldn't come as a surprise since Webb is a sinkerball pitcher who generates groundballs 56% of the time.
Webb is the pride of the Giants' rotation, coming through time and again when the team needs him most. He's pitched well of late despite his 4.46 FIP hinting at possible regression in the future.
The one thing his FIP doesn't show is how good he is at home, where he's pitched to a 1.05 ERA in five starts.
I take a look at the pitching matchup advantage as the primary reason for the Giants' advantage over the Yankees, as Cody Poteet takes the hill for the Bronx Bombers.
It's the second start of the year for Poteet at the Major League level, replacing the injured Clarke Schmidt in the rotation. Poteet pitched six strong innings against the Guardians in a spot start in April, but I foresee a different ending this time around.
It's been a struggle recently for the Giants offense, as Matt Chapman and Jorge Soler are hitting below .160 in the past seven games. The Giants need to score runs to beat the Yankees' surging offense, so the middle-of-the-order bats need to produce.
Logan Webb Over 4.5 Ks
I've talked about how Webb has pitched great at home. We know that's the case, but his strikeout prop is very interesting to add into this SGP.
Webb has struck out five or more hitters in his past five starts, which adds value to taking the over on his strikeout prop, which is set at 4.5.
He isn't a traditional strikeout pitcher. He's a groundball pitcher, but he's more than capable of grabbing a handful of strikeouts on the right day.
Contrary to popular belief, the Yankees changed their offensive philosophy with the additions of Alex Verdugo and others, focusing on contact more than the all-or-nothing approach. Last season, the Yankees were top-10 in strikeout rate but now rank in the bottom five this year.
It's been a huge change, but Webb will navigate his way to five strikeouts in six or seven innings against high-strikeout batters like Giancarlo Stanton, Aaron Judge and Gleyber Torres.
Jorge Soler Under 0.5 Hits
While the Yankees have swayed from their all-or-nothing approach, the Giants have one of the most all-or-nothing players in Soler. I'm truly surprised you can get plus-money on Soler to go hitless, as he's 0-for-14 at the plate in his past four games and appears lost at the dish.
I don't have a ton of hope for Soler to turn things around. He boasts an unimpressive 89 wRC+, strikes out on 23.8% of at-bats and doesn't hit the ball hard, ranking in the 38th percentile in hard-hit percentage and 52nd percentile in average exit velocity.
Moreover, the Soler scuffle has been nothing new over the past few days. The veteran slugger has connected on hits in three of his past 25 at-bats and has gone just 10-for-57 in his past 15 games.
He's just not a strong hitter at this point, and there's real value in him not getting a hit since he's so boom-or-bust.
