Yankees vs. Mariners Odds
| Yankees Odds | -125 |
| Mariners Odds | +105 |
| Over/Under | 7 |
| Time | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | MLB.TV |
| Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here. | |
The Yankees were on the losing end of the 13-inning affair with the Mariners on Tuesday night. New York's offense failed to score in the first nine innings and then had the extra runner on second base thrown out on the base paths in all but one of the extra innings.
New York has lost sole possession of the best record in the American League and is tied with the Houston Astros at 71-40 entering play on Wednesday. Seattle increased its playoff chances with the victory. Now, the Mariners hold the second wild card spot in the American League with a 60-52 record.
These two teams could meet in the playoffs down the road, but who will get the job done and take home the victory on Wednesday afternoon?
New York Yankees
The Yankees offense lost another one of its premiere bats earlier in this series when Matt Carpenter fouled a ball off of his back foot. Carpenter fractured his foot, and there is no timetable for his return.
New York was already playing with outfielder Giancarlo Stanton (injured list) and first baseman Anthony Rizzo (rest).
Robbie Ray has a 3.96 ERA and 4.09 xFIP this year. He's been all over the place over his last four starts. Twice in his last four starts, Ray has struck out at least 10 batters. In the other two starts, he's allowed at least four earned runs and failed to pitch past the third inning.
Ray has allowed a .193 ISO to right-handed hitters this season. The Yankees have a heavily right-handed lineup — Aaron Judge, Gleyber Torres, and Jose Trevino each have ISOs above .300 against left-handed pitching this season.
Josh Donaldson and D.J. LeMahieu each boast ISOs above .160 against left-handed pitching. Moreover, Tim Locastro has a .429 ISO in 16 plate appearances against left-handed pitching.
Ray has a 2.81 ERA at home this year compared to a 5.50 ERA on the road. New York is second in all of baseball averaging 5.24 runs per game on the road.
Seattle Mariners
Seattle ranks 25th in MLB in runs per game at home (3.88).
Nestor Cortes has pitched well for the Yankees recently and has allowed two earned runs or fewer in each of his last four starts. He has also completed at least five innings in each of those appearances.
Furthermore, Cortes has pitched better at home, where he reports a 2.06 ERA. Cortes has allowed a .155 ISO to right-handed batters, and Sam Haggerty is the only Mariners hitter with an ISO above .200 against left-handed pitching this season.
Yankees-Mariners Pick
I like the Yankees here. Both teams had to use their good relievers in the extra-inning game last night, so the bullpens could be tired. Therefore, I believe the Yankees have the advantage on the mound and at the plate.
The Yankees lineup is heavily right-handed and has the advantage against left-handed pitchers who allow big time power like Ray. Cortes also sets up well due to his recent consistency, and this Mariners lineup isn't as adept against left-handed pitching.
I'm taking the Yankees moneyline at -125 on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Pick: Yankees ML (-125)
