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Heat vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - October 27, 2023

Heat at Celtics

11:30 pm • ESPN

Miami Heat

13-13
111
111 - 119

Boston Celtics

22-6
119

Heat at Celtics Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Heat
13-13
+8
+8.5-110
o217.5-110
+282
Celtics
22-6
-8.5-110
u217.5-110
-355
location pinFriday 11:30 p.m.
October 27, 2023
TD GardenBoston
Heat vs. Celtics Expert Picks
Milly Props
Milly Props
423d ago
Last 30d: 4-5-1 (-0.8u)
D.White o17.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-105
0.95u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
423d ago
Last 30d: 58-67-1 (-12.3u)
J.Tatum o2.5 3pt M-120
0.83u
Capper Central
Capper Central
423d ago
Last 30d: 54-48-1 (-3.2u)
BOS -7.5-125
$100.00
Kyle "Vince" Akins
Kyle "Vince" Akins
423d ago
Last 30d: 1-2-0 (-0.7u)
J.Brown o19.5 Pts-125
0.96u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
423d ago
Last 30d: 152-138-0 (+11.8u)
Over 217.5-110
1.82u
L4 games of the playoffs went under
Bruce Marshall
Bruce Marshall
423d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 217.5-110
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
423d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
J.Holiday u20.5 Pts+Ast-115
1.15u
After accruing a 17% usage rate in the preseason, he was down to 16% in the first game vs NYK (11 PA). Even if the Celtics look to get him going tonight, they have five guys in their starting lineup capable of putting up numbers, and this is a tough opponent (also keep in mind, Jaylen Brown had a muted performance vs NYK - more realistically that he’s featured more tonight). MIA profiles similarly defensively as NYK - I just don’t see the upside quite yet, especially in this matchup.
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
423d ago
Last 30d: 65-81-1 (+8.4u)
J.Tatum o26.5 Pts-113
1u
B.Adebayo o17.5 Pts-113
0.88u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
423d ago
Last 30d: 92-107-2 (+12.9u)
Under 217.5-110
0.55u

PRO Insights

Heat logo

Heat

MIA Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Heat logoThe Boston Celtics averaged 12.7 second chance points per game (1,039 points/82 games) last season -- ninth-lowest among NBA teams. The Miami Heat allowed 12.0 second chance points per game last season -- third-best among NBA defenses.
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Celtics logo

Celtics

BOS Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Celtics logoThe Boston Celtics averaged 38.0 defensive rebounds per game (3,112 rebounds/82 games) last season -- tied for second-best among NBA teams. The Miami Heat averaged 15.1 offensive rebounds per game (1,242 rebounds/82 games) last season -- tied for ninth-worst among NBA teams.
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Heat vs. Celtics Previews & Analysis

  • Friday NBA Player Props: How to Bet Jaylen Brown, More article feature image

    Friday NBA Player Props: How to Bet Jaylen Brown, More

    Alex Hinton•
    Oct 27, 2023 UTC
  • Heat vs Celtics: Bet Boston Against the Spread article feature image

    Heat vs Celtics: Bet Boston Against the Spread

    Chris Baker•
    Oct 27, 2023 UTC
  • NBA Best Bets: Expert Picks for Friday article feature image

    NBA Best Bets: Expert Picks for Friday

    Action Network Staff•
    Oct 27, 2023 UTC
  • Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics: Who Wins Rematch Of Eastern Conference Finals? NBA Picks | Buckets article feature image

    Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics: Who Wins Rematch Of Eastern Conference Finals? NBA Picks | Buckets

    Matt Moore•
    Oct 27, 2023 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Heat vs. Celtics Public Betting Percentages

Heat

Public

Home Logo

Celtics

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Celtics are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
  • Celtics are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Celtics are 6-6 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Celtics' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Celtics' 15 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Celtics		11-16-15-106-6-111-15-10-1
Heat		11-156-75-87-94-6

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Celtics		12-168-74-912-150-1
Heat		15-117-68-58-87-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Celtics		22-6N/AN/A22-50-1
Heat		13-13N/AN/A10-63-7

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 25th@NYKW 108-104-4 LU 223BOS -175
Oct 19th@CHAW 127-99-7 WU 229BOS -265
Oct 17thNYKW 123-110-10 WO 219BOS -375
Oct 11th@PHIW 112-101-2.5 WU 218.5BOS -143
Oct 9th@NYKL 107-114+8.5 WO 219NYK +275

Heat vs. Celtics Injury Updates

Heat Injuries

  • Josh Richardson
    PG

    Richardson is out with heel

    Out

  • Terry Rozier
    PG

    Terry Rozier (knee) probable Monday.

    Probable

  • Kevin Love
    SF

    Kevin Love (back) probable Wednesday.

    Probable

  • Jimmy Butler
    SF

    Jimmy Butler (illness) out Monday.

    Out

Celtics Injuries

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    Player Stats
    • scoring
      Derrick White logo
      Derrick White
      28
      ppg
    • rebounding
      Jrue Holiday logo
      Jrue Holiday
      10
      rpg
    • assists
      Jrue Holiday logo
      Jrue Holiday
      7
      apg
    • shooting
      Payton Pritchard logo
      Payton Pritchard
      100
      fg%
    Team Stats

    38-89 (43%)
    Field Goals
    45-95 (47%)
    19-23 (83%)
    Free Throws
    13-19 (68%)
    16-34 (47%)
    3P
    16-39 (41%)
    45
    Rebounds
    55
    24
    Assists
    20
    12
    Turnovers
    15
    8
    Steals
    7
    6
    Blocks
    6
    16
    Fouls
    19

    Heat vs. Celtics Odds Comparison

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    Heat at Celtics Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Heat
    13-13
    o104.5-110
    u104.5-120
    Celtics
    22-6
    o113.5-102
    u113.5-115